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Research article|Articles in Press, 100720

Utility of novel viral and immune markers in predicting HBV treatment endpoints: A systematic review of treatment discontinuation studies

  • Author Footnotes
    1 GZ, AK and L-YM are joint first co-authors.
    Georgia Zeng
    Footnotes
    1 GZ, AK and L-YM are joint first co-authors.
    Affiliations
    Faculty of Medicine, St Vincent’s Clinical School, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
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  • Author Footnotes
    1 GZ, AK and L-YM are joint first co-authors.
    Apostolos Koffas
    Footnotes
    1 GZ, AK and L-YM are joint first co-authors.
    Affiliations
    Barts Liver Centre, Blizard Institute, Barts and the London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom
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  • Author Footnotes
    1 GZ, AK and L-YM are joint first co-authors.
    Lung-Yi Mak
    Footnotes
    1 GZ, AK and L-YM are joint first co-authors.
    Affiliations
    Barts Liver Centre, Blizard Institute, Barts and the London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom

    Department of Medicine, Queen Mary Hospital, School of Clinical Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
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  • Upkar S. Gill
    Affiliations
    Barts Liver Centre, Blizard Institute, Barts and the London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom
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  • Patrick TF Kennedy
    Correspondence
    Corresponding author. and contact details: Department of Immunobiology The Blizard Institute, Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London London, United Kingdom.
    Affiliations
    Barts Liver Centre, Blizard Institute, Barts and the London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom
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  • Author Footnotes
    1 GZ, AK and L-YM are joint first co-authors.
Open AccessPublished:March 07, 2023DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhepr.2023.100720

      Highlights

      • First-line antivirals such as Entecavir and Tenofovir remain the mainstay of CHB treatment, but there remains considerable interest in the potential for treatment discontinuation in select patients to maintain partial cure or achieve functional cure.
      • Novel viral markers, HBcrAg and HBV RNA, in conjunction with quantitative hepatitis B surface antigen, have demonstrated utility in predicting off-therapy partial cure, with emerging evidence also supporting a correlation with functional cure.
      • There is a dearth of novel immune marker studies, particularly those analysing HBV-specific T cell responses, which have the potential to predict immune restoration with treatment discontinuation, considered a central tenet of functional cure.
      • Both virus-targeted and immune modulatory agents (where NA discontinuation can be considered an immunomodulatory strategy) should be utilised in concert with the goal of achieving functional cure where the risk of severe clinical relapse is considered low.

      Abstract

      Background & Aims

      Antivirals represent the mainstay of CHB treatment given their efficacy and tolerability, but rates of functional cure remain low during long-term therapy. Treatment discontinuation has emerged as a strategy to maintain partial cure and achieve functional cure in select patient groups. We aimed to evaluate how data from treatment discontinuation studies exploring novel viral and/or immune markers could be applied to the functional cure program.

      Methods

      Treatment discontinuation studies evaluating novel viral and/or immune markers were identified by a systematic search of the PubMed database through to October 30, 2022. Data extraction focused on information regarding novel markers, including identified cut-off levels, timing of measurement and associated effect on study outcomes of virological relapse (VR), clinical relapse (CR) and HBsAg seroclearance.

      Results

      From a search of 4492 citations, 33 studies comprising a minimum of 2986 unique patients met the inclusion criteria. Novel viral markers, HBcrAg and HBV RNA, were demonstrated across most studies to be helpful in predicting off-therapy partial cure, with emerging evidence to support a link with functional cure. From novel immune marker studies, we observed that treatment discontinuation has the potential to trigger immune restoration, which may be associated with a transient VR. To this end, these studies support the combination of virus-directing agents with immunomodulator therapies to induce two key steps underlying functional cure: viral antigen load reduction and restoration of the host immune response.

      Conclusions

      Patients with a favourable profile of novel viral and immune markers stand to benefit from a trial of antiviral treatment discontinuation alongside novel virus-directing agents with the aim of achieving functional cure without excessive risk of severe clinical relapse.

      Lay Summary

      Select Chronic Hepatitis B patients undergoing nucleoside analogue therapy may benefit from a trial of treatment discontinuation, aiming to maintain partial cure and/or achieve functional cure. We propose a profile of novel viral and immune markers to identify patients who are likely to achieve these goals without excessive risk of hepatic decompensation. Furthermore, treatment discontinuation may also be considered as a therapeutic strategy to trigger immune restoration, which may increase the chance of functional cure when used in conjunction with novel virus-directing agents.

      Graphical abstract

      Keywords

      Abbreviations

      AUROC
      Area under region of curve
      CHB
      Chronic Hepatitis B
      CR
      Clinical relapse
      EOT
      End of treatment
      ETV
      Entecavir
      HBcrAg
      Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen
      HBsAg
      Hepatitis B Surface Antigen
      HCC
      Hepatocellular carcinoma
      HR
      Hazards ratio
      MV
      Multivariate
      NA
      Nucleoside analogue
      OR
      Odds ratio
      TAF
      Tenofovir Alafenamide
      TDF
      Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate
      UV
      Univariate
      VR
      Virological relapse

      Data Availability Statement

      All data analysed during this study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

      Conflict of Interest Statement

      Georgia Zeng, Apostolos Koffas and Upkar Gill have no conflicts of interest to disclose.
      Lung-Yi Mak has served as an advisory board member for Gilead Sciences.
      Patrick Kennedy has served as a speaker, a consultant/advisory board member for Abbott Diagnostics, Aligos, Antios Therapeutics, Assembly Biosciences, Gilead Sciences, Janssen, GlaxoSmithKline, Immunocore and Drug Farm, and has received research funding from Gilead Sciences.

      Financial Support

      None.

      Author contributions

      GZ.: data curation; drafting; reviewing & editing of manuscript.
      AK.: data curation; drafting; reviewing & editing of manuscript.
      L-YM: drafting; reviewing & editing of manuscript.
      USG: reviewing & editing of manuscript.
      PTFK.: conceptualization; reviewing & editing of manuscript; supervision.

      Introduction

      An estimated 296 million individuals are known to have chronic hepatitis B (CHB) worldwide, with 30% of the global population showing serological evidence of current or past infection.
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      CHB resulted in an estimated 820,000 deaths in 2019 according to the World Health Organization (WHO), the vast majority of which are attributable to cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

      Organisation WH. Hepatitis B. Volume 2022, 2022.

      Current CHB treatment aims primarily to prevent disease progression and the sequelae of chronic infection by providing continuous on-treatment viral suppression.
      First-line antivirals, Entecavir (ETV), Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate (TDF) and Tenofovir Alafenamide (TAF) represent the mainstay of treatment given their efficacy, tolerability and favourable safety profile, moreover they are distinguished by their high barriers to resistance in addition to their ability to reverse liver fibrosis and reduce HCC incidence.
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      ,
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      Treatment with nucleoside analogues (NAs) is lifelong in the majority of patients. This is in contrast to treatment with interferon-alfa, the only recognised finite therapy in CHB, employed in a small subset of patients only, due to its recognised systemic side effects. NAs lack the potential to achieve functional cure, defined as sustained off-treatment hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) loss, in the majority of CHB patients. The persistence of HBV infection is attributed to the cccDNA pool in infected hepatocytes; although it reduces naturally over the course of HBV infection
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      , it persists even in patients with viral clearance.
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      Novel therapeutic approaches for the management of CHB have been under evaluation to overcome these limitations. These comprise a number of promising agents or combination approaches currently being evaluated in pre-clinical or early-phase clinical trials, which target either the viral cycle directly or enhance host immunity. The former group includes viral entry inhibitors, RNA interference, capsid assembly modulators (CAMs), nucleic acid polymers, strategies targeting cccDNA formation or degradation, amongst others. Examples of the latter group include therapeutic vaccines, toll-like receptor agonists, T cell redirection, checkpoint inhibitors, antibodies to HBV and indeed NA discontinuation. Recently, considerable focus has been given to NA discontinuation as a strategy to achieve functional cure. However, there is a lack of consensus between international guidelines
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      Asian-Pacific clinical practice guidelines on the management of hepatitis B: a 2015 update.
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      regarding the requirements for safe NA cessation in CHB patients (Supplementary Table 1). Secondly, patients often experience viral relapse (VR), defined as a rebound of HBV DNA levels following treatment cessation; and clinical relapse (CR), defined by VR with an associated biochemical flare. Off-therapy rates of VR and CR vary largely between published studies, likely due to heterogeneity in study participants, relapse definitions and other aspects of study design. In a recent meta-analysis by Hall et al in 2021
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      • et al.
      Discontinuation of nucleot(s)ide analogue therapy in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B: a meta-analysis.
      which explored rates of partial cure following discontinuation of oral antivirals in HBeAg-negative patients, rates of VR and CR at 12 months were 63% and 35% respectively.
      While treatment discontinuation can be considered a therapeutic strategy in its own right with the potential to offer partial and functional cure in some patients, studies of NA discontinuation can also provide unique insights into the virological and immunological conditions required to achieve both partial and functional cure. Several discontinuation studies assessed novel viral markers such as Hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) and HBV RNA, and both have been proposed as novel tools to signpost partial and functional cure post NA cessation. Additionally, immune markers, particularly relating to T cell phenotype and function, are differentiated in patient populations who progress to VR and/or CR. Thus, we seek to comprehensively review the data generated to date on novel viral and immune markers in treatment discontinuation studies, aiming to evaluate their potential in providing a roadmap to functional cure.

      Methods

      Literature Search

      We performed a systematic review according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines.
      • Page MJ
      • McKenzie JE
      • Bossuyt PM
      • Boutron I
      • Hoffmann TC
      • Mulrow CD
      • et al.
      The PRISMA 2020 statement: an updated guideline for reporting systematic reviews.
      In order to retrieve all works of potential relevance, a systematic search of the PubMed/Medline database was performed of all studies through to October 30, 2022. The search used the terms (“Hepatitis B” OR “Chronic Hepatitis B”) AND (“Antiviral” OR “Treatment” OR “Therapy” OR “Lamivudine” OR “Adefovir” OR “Entecavir” OR “Telbivudine” OR “Tenofovir”) AND (“End” OR “Discontinuation” OR “Withdrawal” OR “Cessation” OR “Off-treatment”) which were searched as text words and as exploded medical subject headings where possible, with no language restrictions. The reference lists of relevant articles were also searched for appropriate studies. We requested full texts from authors where we found relevant paper abstracts and conference abstracts. A search for unpublished literature was not performed.

      Inclusion criteria

      We included randomised or observational studies that met the following inclusion criteria: (1) studies including adult CHB patients who ceased NA only if fulfilling the following standards: HBeAg seroconversion and a minimum mean/median of 6 months of consolidation therapy following virological suppression for initial HBeAg-positive populations, and a minimum median/mean of 12 months of consolidation therapy following virological suppression for initial HBeAg-negative populations, without HBsAg seroclearance; (2) studies providing data in the form of virological and/or clinical relapse rates; (3) studies providing data relating to novel viral and/or immune markers; (4) studies with a minimum follow up of 6 months; (5) studies with a minimum of 10 patients; (6) studies available in English as full papers.

      Exclusion criteria

      We excluded studies with (1) populations co-infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) or human immunodeficiency virus (HIV); (2) studies with populations with a history of HCC, liver transplants or immunosuppressive therapies, (3) studies with populations co-treated with interferon; (4) studies with populations that have exclusively experienced HBsAg seroclearance.

      Data extraction

      The baseline characteristics of study cohort including age, gender, type of NA, HBeAg status, HBV genotype, and duration of NA were extracted. For each article included, we recorded the author names, year of publication, country of origin, study design, and duration of follow-up. Study outcomes of VR and CR (both regarded as not achieving partial cure) and HBsAg seroclearance (functional cure) as defined in each article were recorded. Regarding novel viral biomarkers, HBcrAg and HBV RNA, the identified cut-off levels, and timing of measurement were presented alongside the associated effect estimates on study outcomes, expressed as either hazard ratios (HR), odds ratios (OR), or cumulative rate of study outcomes. Data regarding novel immune markers, namely the phenotype and function of peripheral immune cells, were harvested in the form supplied by the authors.

      Quality assessment

      For viral markers, the Risk of Bias in Non-Randomized Studies of Interventions (ROBINS-I) assessment tool was used to evaluate study quality, and is available in the Supplementary Materials. The judgements within each domain of the tool were carried forward to an overall risk of bias judgement, categorised as low, moderate, serious, or critical. Studies judged to be at critical risk of bias were not included in the analysis. For immune markers, due to the heterogeneous and complex nature of the immunological analyses, no well-established scale could be applied. Authors (GZ) and (AK) screened the abstracts and selected relevant studies after screening the retrieved full articles. Conflicts of study eligibility or quality assessment was resolved by discussion with a senior author (PTFK).

      Results

      Characteristics of included studies

      The search identified 4492 titles and abstracts that were reviewed, with 41 citations being selected for full-text review. Of these, 8 studies were excluded after rigorous review. The stopping criteria in 7 of these studies did not meet the minimum requirements as per our inclusion criteria and we could not source the full text of another study. Therefore, we evaluated 33 studies,
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      extracted data from the CREATE database, which pooled cohorts from previous studies in Asia and Europe that were already included in this meta-analysis.
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      Pregenomic HBV RNA and Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen Predict Outcomes in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B Patients Suppressed on Nucleos(T)ide Analogue Therapy.
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      Hepatitis B surface antigen, core-related antigen and HBV RNA: Predicting clinical relapse after NA therapy discontinuation.
      ,
      • Papatheodoridi M
      • Hadziyannis E
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      • Zachou K
      • Testoni B
      • Rigopoulou E
      • et al.
      Predictors of hepatitis B surface antigen loss, relapse and retreatment after discontinuation of effective oral antiviral therapy in noncirrhotic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      ,
      • Seto WK
      • Liu KS
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      • et al.
      Role of serum HBV RNA and hepatitis B surface antigen levels in identifying Asian patients with chronic hepatitis B suitable for entecavir cessation.
      ,
      • Kaewdech A
      • Assawasuwannakit S
      • Sripongpun P
      • Chamroonkul N
      • Tangkijvanich P
      • Piratvisuth T
      Clinical Utility of SCALE-B to Predict Hepatitis B Virus Relapse, Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Loss After Antiviral Cessation in Asian Patients After 2-Year Follow-up.
      ,
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      Significance of serum HBV RNA in non-cirrhotic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients who discontinue effective antiviral therapy.
      In addition, Fan et al published 2 included studies
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      • Xu M
      • Tan D
      • Niu J
      • Wang H
      • et al.
      Association Between Negative Results From Tests for HBV DNA and RNA and Durability of Response After Discontinuation of Nucles(t)ide Analogue Therapy.
      ,
      • Fan R
      • Peng J
      • Xie Q
      • Tan D
      • Xu M
      • Niu J
      • et al.
      Combining Hepatitis B Virus RNA and Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen: Guidance for Safely Stopping Nucleos(t)ide Analogues in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Positive Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B.
      with the same cohort, a different Chinese group published 2 included studies with likely overlapping cohorts,
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      • Sun J
      • et al.
      Serum Level of Antibodies Against Hepatitis B Core Protein Is Associated With Clinical Relapse After Discontinuation of Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapy.
      ,
      • Xia M
      • Chi H
      • Wu Y
      • Hansen BE
      • Li Z
      • Liu S
      • et al.
      Serum hepatitis B virus RNA level is associated with biochemical relapse in patients with chronic hepatitis B infection who discontinue nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment.
      and a Taiwanese group published 4 included studies with likely overlapping cohorts.
      • Tseng TN
      • Hu TH
      • Wang JH
      • Kuo YH
      • Hung CH
      • Lu SN
      • et al.
      Incidence and Factors Associated With HBV Relapse After Cessation of Entecavir or Tenofovir in Patients With HBsAg Below 100 IU/mL.
      ,
      • Huang PY
      • Wang JH
      • Hung CH
      • Lu SN
      • Hu TH
      • Chen CH
      The role of hepatitis B virus core-related antigen in predicting hepatitis B virus relapse after cessation of entecavir in hepatitis B e antigen-negative patients.
      ,
      • Kuo YH
      • Wang JH
      • Hung CH
      • Lu SN
      • Hu TH
      • Chen CH
      Combining end-of-treatment HBsAg and baseline hepatitis B core-related antigen reduce HBV relapse rate after tenofovir cessation.
      ,
      • Chen CH
      • Peng CY
      • Kuo YH
      • Hu TH
      • Hung CH
      • Wang JH
      • et al.
      Earlier and Higher Rate of Hepatitis B Virus Relapse After Discontinuing Tenofovir Versus Entecavir in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Positive Patients.
      . Distinct data on initial e-Antigen positive populations, was provided in 5 studies, 14 studies provided distinct data on initial e-Antigen negative populations and 14 studies provided data on combined e-Antigen positive and negative populations. 22 studies were conducted in Asian-dominant populations, 4 studies were conducted in Caucasian-dominant populations, 3 studies reported on Mediterranean-dominant populations, 1 study was conducted in a Black African-dominant population and 3 studies were conducted in heterogenous populations. Figure 1 displays our study selection process.
      The undetectable limit of HBV DNA in the majority of studies was 20 IU/mL (100 copies/ml), but varied from 10 IU/mL to 100 IU/mL. When specified, the definition of VR was set at HBV DNA >2000 IU/mL in all, but one study
      • Kranidioti H
      • Manolakopoulos S
      • Kontos G
      • Breen MS
      • Kourikou A
      • Deutsch M
      • et al.
      Immunological biomarkers as indicators for outcome after discontinuation of nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy in patients with HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      , which utilised the threshold of HBV DNA >20,000 IU/mL. The definition CR was set as alanine aminotransferase (ALT) >2x upper limit of normal (ULN) in all studies that specified a threshold, but one study specifically looked at severe hepatitis flares, defined as ALT >10x ULN.
      • Hall SA
      • Burns GS
      • Mooney BJ
      • Millen R
      • Morris R
      • Vogrin S
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B Virus Flares following Nucleot(s)ide Analogue Cessation Are Associated with Activation of TLR Signalling Pathways.
      The definition of VR and CR in some studies was qualified by multiple time points, for example VR being defined as HBV DNA >2000 IU/mL verified on 2 separate occasions 3 months apart. The main study characteristics of these studies are summarized in Table 1A, Table 1BA and 1B , while the patient and treatment characteristics of these studies are summarised in Table 2A, Table 2BA and 2B .
      Table 1AMain Characteristics of Included Studies (n=24) Exploring the Role of Viral Markers in Prediction of Partial Cure.
      PaperStudy DesignPopulationLocation (Ethnicity if different)Sample SizeNovel Viral MarkersVR Definition (HBV DNA)CR Definition (ALT)Retreatment CriteriaFollow-Up (months)
      Honer Zu Siederdissen, C., et al 2016
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Rinker F
      • Maasoumy B
      • Wiegand SB
      • Filmann N
      • Falk CS
      • et al.
      Viral and Host Responses After Stopping Long-term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapy in HBeAg-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B.
      ProspectiveHBeAg-Germany15HBcrAg2000 IU/mLN/AVR12
      Hsu, Y.C., et al 2019*
      • Hsu YC
      • Nguyen MH
      • Mo LR
      • Wu MS
      • Yang TH
      • Chen CC
      • et al.
      Combining hepatitis B core-related and surface antigens at end of nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment to predict off-therapy relapse risk.
      ProspectiveCombinedTaiwan135HBcrAg2000 IU/mLx2 ULN (ULN=40)Bili >2 mg/dL, PT >3s, or ALT >2x ULN [3 months apart]25.9
      Carey, I., et al 2020*
      • Carey I
      • Gersch J
      • Wang B
      • Moigboi C
      • Kuhns M
      • Cloherty G
      • et al.
      Pregenomic HBV RNA and Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen Predict Outcomes in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B Patients Suppressed on Nucleos(T)ide Analogue Therapy.
      RetrospectiveHBeAg-UK (Mostly Black African)23HBcrAg

      HBV RNA
      N/Ax2 ULN (ULN = 19 F, 30 M) [on 2 occasions]“Clinically significant flare”17.9
      Fan, R., et al 2020A*
      • Fan R
      • Zhou B
      • Xu M
      • Tan D
      • Niu J
      • Wang H
      • et al.
      Association Between Negative Results From Tests for HBV DNA and RNA and Durability of Response After Discontinuation of Nucles(t)ide Analogue Therapy.
      ProspectiveHBeAg+China170HBV RNA2000 IU/mL [3-4 months apart]x2 ULNCR48
      Fan, R., et al 2020B
      • Fan R
      • Peng J
      • Xie Q
      • Tan D
      • Xu M
      • Niu J
      • et al.
      Combining Hepatitis B Virus RNA and Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen: Guidance for Safely Stopping Nucleos(t)ide Analogues in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Positive Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B.
      ProspectiveHBeAg+China186HBcrAg

      HBV RNA
      2000 IU/mL [3-4 months apart]x2 ULNCR48
      Garcia-Lopez, M., et al 2020
      • García-López M
      • Lens S
      • Pallett LJ
      • Testoni B
      • Rodriguez-Tajes S
      • Marino Z
      • et al.
      Viral and immune factors associated with successful treatment withdrawal in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients.
      ProspectiveHBeAg-Spain27HBcrAg

      HBV RNA
      2000 IU/mLNot statedALT >10x ULN [on 2 occasions], ALT >5-10x ULN & VR [4 weeks apart], or ALT >2-5x ULN & VR [6 months apart]34
      Kaewdech, A., et al 2020*
      • Kaewdech A
      • Tangkijvanich P
      • Sripongpun P
      • Witeerungrot T
      • Jandee S
      • Tanaka Y
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B surface antigen, core-related antigen and HBV RNA: Predicting clinical relapse after NA therapy discontinuation.
      ProspectiveCombinedThailand92HBcrAg

      HBV RNA
      2000 IU/mL>2x ULN (ULN=33)ALT >10x ULN, ALT >2-10x ULN [4 weeks apart], Bili >1.5mg/dL or PT >2s12
      Lai, C.L., et al 2020
      • Lai CL
      • Wong DK
      • Wong GT
      • Seto WK
      • Fung J
      • Yuen MF
      Rebound of HBV DNA after cessation of nucleos/tide analogues in chronic hepatitis B patients with undetectable covalently closed.
      ProspectiveCombinedHong Kong13HBcrAg

      HBV RNA
      2000 IU/mL.VR17.5
      Liu, Y., et al 2020*
      • Liu Y
      • Xue J
      • Liao W
      • Yan H
      • Liang X
      Serum HBV RNA Dynamic and Drug Withdrawal Predictor Value in Patients With Chronic HBV Infection on Long-term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue (NA) Therapy.
      ProspectiveCombinedChina30HBV RNA2000 IU/mL [3 months apart]x2 ULNCR24
      Papatheodoridi, M., et al 2020*
      • Papatheodoridi M
      • Hadziyannis E
      • Berby F
      • Zachou K
      • Testoni B
      • Rigopoulou E
      • et al.
      Predictors of hepatitis B surface antigen loss, relapse and retreatment after discontinuation of effective oral antiviral therapy in noncirrhotic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      ProspectiveHBeAg-Greece57HBcrAg2000 IU/mLx2 ULN (ULN = 40)ALT >10x ULN, ALT >2x ULN & DNA >100,000 IU/mL or ALT >2x ULN & DNA >2000 IU/mL [on 3 occasions]19
      Seto, W.K., et al 2020*
      • Seto WK
      • Liu KS
      • Mak LY
      • Cloherty G
      • Wong DK
      • Gersch J
      • et al.
      Role of serum HBV RNA and hepatitis B surface antigen levels in identifying Asian patients with chronic hepatitis B suitable for entecavir cessation.
      ProspectiveCombinedHong Kong114HBcrAg

      HBV RNA
      2000 IU/mL [1 week apart]N/AVR12
      Tseng, T.N., et al 2020*
      • Tseng TN
      • Hu TH
      • Wang JH
      • Kuo YH
      • Hung CH
      • Lu SN
      • et al.
      Incidence and Factors Associated With HBV Relapse After Cessation of Entecavir or Tenofovir in Patients With HBsAg Below 100 IU/mL.
      Not specifiedCombinedTaiwan135HBcrAg2000 IU/mL> 80HBeAg+: ALT >2x ULN & DNA >20,000 IU/mL

      HBeAg-: ALT >2x ULN [3 months apart] & DNA >2000 IU/mL

      All patients: Bili >2mg/dL or PT >3s
      135
      Cheng, H.R., et al 2021
      • Cheng HR
      • Yang HC
      • Lin SR
      • Yang TY
      • Lin YY
      • Su TH
      • et al.
      Combined viral quasispecies diversity and hepatitis B core-related antigen predict off-nucleos(t)ide analog durability in HBeAg-negative patients.
      ProspectiveHBeAg-Taiwan54HBcrAg2000 IU/mL.Not mentioned12
      Huang, P.Y., et al 2021
      • Huang PY
      • Wang JH
      • Hung CH
      • Lu SN
      • Hu TH
      • Chen CH
      The role of hepatitis B virus core-related antigen in predicting hepatitis B virus relapse after cessation of entecavir in hepatitis B e antigen-negative patients.
      Not specifiedHBeAg-Taiwan301HBcrAg2000 IU/mLx2 ULN (ULN = 40)ALT >2x ULN [3 months apart] & DNA >2000 IU/mL, Bili >2mg/dL or PT >3s56.3
      Kuo, Y.H., et al 2021
      • Kuo YH
      • Wang JH
      • Hung CH
      • Lu SN
      • Hu TH
      • Chen CH
      Combining end-of-treatment HBsAg and baseline hepatitis B core-related antigen reduce HBV relapse rate after tenofovir cessation.
      RetrospectiveHBeAg-Taiwan185HBcrAg2000 IU/mLx2 ULNALT >2x ULN [3 months apart] & DNA >2000 IU/mL, Bili >2mg/dL or PT >3s35.5
      Liao, G., et al 2021
      • Liao G
      • Ding X
      • Xia M
      • Wu Y
      • Chen H
      • Fan R
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen is a Biomarker for off-Treatment Relapse After Long-Term Nucleos(t)ide Analog Therapy in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B.
      ProspectiveHBeAg+China122HBcrAg2000 IU/mLx2 ULN (ULN = 40)CR36
      Sonneveld, M.J., et al 2021
      • Sonneveld MJ
      • Park JY
      • Kaewdech A
      • Seto WK
      • Tanaka Y
      • Carey I
      • et al.
      Prediction of Sustained Response After Nucleo(s)tide Analogue Cessation Using HBsAg and HBcrAg Levels: A Multicenter Study (CREATE).
      Retrospective/ProspectiveCombinedMulticenter (Asia & Europe)572HBcrAg2000 IU/mLx3 ULNNot specified12
      Wubbolding, L.A., et al 2021
      • Wübbolding M
      • Lopez Alfonso JC
      • Lin CY
      • Binder S
      • Falk C
      • Debarry J
      • et al.
      Pilot Study Using Machine Learning to Identify Immune Profiles for the Prediction of Early Virological Relapse After Stopping Nucleos(t)ide Analogues in HBeAg-Negative CHB.
      ProspectiveHBeAg-Asia Pacific43HBcrAg2000 IU/mL.No specified6
      Xia, M., et al 2021
      • Xia M
      • Chi H
      • Wu Y
      • Hansen BE
      • Li Z
      • Liu S
      • et al.
      Serum hepatitis B virus RNA level is associated with biochemical relapse in patients with chronic hepatitis B infection who discontinue nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment.
      ProspectiveCombinedChina135HBV RNA2000 IU/mLx2 ULNCR31.2
      Xie, Y., et al 2021
      • Xie Y
      • Li M
      • Ou X
      • Zheng S
      • Gao Y
      • Xu X
      • et al.
      HBeAg-positive patients with HBsAg < 100 IU/mL and negative HBV RNA have lower risk of virological relapse after nucleos(t)ide analogues cessation.
      ProspectiveHBeAg+China139HBcrAg

      HBV RNA
      2000 IU/mLx2 ULN (ULN = 40)CR24
      Chen, C.H., et al 2022
      • Chen CH
      • Peng CY
      • Kuo YH
      • Hu TH
      • Hung CH
      • Wang JH
      • et al.
      Earlier and Higher Rate of Hepatitis B Virus Relapse After Discontinuing Tenofovir Versus Entecavir in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Positive Patients.
      ProspectiveHBeAg+Taiwan316HBcrAg2000 IU/mLx2 ULN (ULN = 40)Not specifiedETV 42

      TDF 19
      Kaewdech, A., et al 2022*
      • Kaewdech A
      • Assawasuwannakit S
      • Sripongpun P
      • Chamroonkul N
      • Tangkijvanich P
      • Piratvisuth T
      Clinical Utility of SCALE-B to Predict Hepatitis B Virus Relapse, Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Loss After Antiviral Cessation in Asian Patients After 2-Year Follow-up.
      ProspectiveCombinedThailand92HBcrAg

      HBV RNA
      2000 IU/mL>2x ULN (ULN=33)CR and:

      Bili >1.5mg/dL, PT>2s, ALT >10x ULN, or ALT 2-10x ULN [4 weeks apart]
      35.5
      Papatheodoridi, M., et al 2022*
      • Papatheodoridi M
      • Papachristou E
      • Moschidis Z
      • Hadziyannis E
      • Rigopoulou E
      • Zachou K
      • et al.
      Significance of serum HBV RNA in non-cirrhotic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients who discontinue effective antiviral therapy.
      ProspectiveHBeAg-Greece57HBcrAg

      HBV RNA
      2000 IU/mLx2 ULN (ULN = 40)ALT >10x ULN, ALT >5x ULN & Bili >2mg/dL, ALT >2x ULN & DNA <100,000 IU/mL, ALT >ULN & DNA >2000 IU/mL [on 3 occasions]38
      Sonneveld, M.J., et al 2022
      • Sonneveld MJ
      • Chiu SM
      • Park JY
      • Brakenhoff SM
      • Kaewdech A
      • Seto WK
      • et al.
      Probability of HBsAg loss after nucleo(s)tide analogue withdrawal depends on HBV genotype and viral antigen levels.
      Retrospective/ProspectiveCombinedMulticenter (Asia & Europe)1216HBcrAg..Not specified25.6
      Abbreviations: Anti-HBc: hepatitis B core antibodies; ALT: alanine transaminase; Bili: bilirubin; CR: clinical relapse; F: female; HBcrAg: hepatitis B core-related antigen; HBeAg+: initial e-Antigen positive population; HBeAg-: initial e-Antigen negative population; HBV DNA: hepatitis B virus deoxyribonucleic acid; HBV RNA: hepatitis B virus ribonucleic acid; M: male; PT: prothrombin time; ULN: upper limit of normal; VR: virological relapse; “.”: data not specified.
      Table 1BMain Characteristics of Included Studies (n=13) Exploring the Role of Immune Markers in Prediction of Partial Cure.
      PaperStudy DesignPopulationLocation (Ethnicity if different)Sample SizeImmune Marker ExploredVR Definition (HBV DNA)CR Definition (ALT)Retreatment CriteriaFollow-Up (months)
      Honer Zu Siederdissen, C., et al 2016
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Rinker F
      • Maasoumy B
      • Wiegand SB
      • Filmann N
      • Falk CS
      • et al.
      Viral and Host Responses After Stopping Long-term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapy in HBeAg-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B.
      ProspectiveHBeAg-Germany1527 plasma cytokine levels2000 IU/mL.VR12
      Rinker, F., et al 2018
      • Rinker F
      • Zimmer CL
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Manns MP
      • Kraft ARM
      • Wedemeyer H
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B virus-specific T cell responses after stopping nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      HBV-specific T cell activity, phenotype and function of T cells
      Zimmer, C.L., et al 2018
      • Zimmer CL
      • Rinker F
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Manns MP
      • Wedemeyer H
      • Cornberg M
      • et al.
      Increased NK Cell Function After Cessation of Long-Term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Treatment in Chronic Hepatitis B Is Associated With Liver Damage and HBsAg Loss.
      Phenotype and function of NK cells
      Rivino, L., et al 2018
      • Rivino L
      • Le Bert N
      • Gill US
      • Kunasegaran K
      • Cheng Y
      • Tan DZ
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B virus-specific T cells associate with viral control upon nucleos(t)ide-analogue therapy discontinuation.
      ProspectiveHBeAg-Cohort 1 - UK (heterogenous ethnicity)

      Cohort 2 - SE Asia
      46HBV-specific T cell activity, phenotype and function of peripheral immune cells, 579 gene expression levelsN/Ax2 ULN (ULN = 40)Not specifiedCohort 1 - 6

      Cohort 2 - 8.8
      Su, T. H., et al 2018
      • Su TH
      • Yang HC
      • Tseng TC
      • Liou JM
      • Liu CH
      • Chen CL
      • et al.
      Distinct Relapse Rates and Risk Predictors After Discontinuing Tenofovir and Entecavir Therapy.
      ProspectiveCombinedTaiwan100SNPs, Anti-HBc activity2000 IU/mLx2 ULN (ULN = 40)ALT >2x ULN [3 months apart] and:

      DNA >2000 IU/mL or Bili >2mg/dL or PT >3s
      35
      Chi, H., et al 2019
      • Chi H
      • Li Z
      • Hansen BE
      • Yu T
      • Zhang X
      • Sun J
      • et al.
      Serum Level of Antibodies Against Hepatitis B Core Protein Is Associated With Clinical Relapse After Discontinuation of Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapy.
      ProspectiveCombinedChina100Anti-HBc2000 IU/mLx2 ULN (ULN =

      35 F, 40 M)
      CR30
      Kranidioti, H., et al 2019
      • Kranidioti H
      • Manolakopoulos S
      • Kontos G
      • Breen MS
      • Kourikou A
      • Deutsch M
      • et al.
      Immunological biomarkers as indicators for outcome after discontinuation of nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy in patients with HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      ProspectiveHBeAg-Greece2321 key gene expression levels20,000 IU/mLN/ANot specified55.2
      Wu, Y., et al 2019
      • Wu Y
      • Fan J
      • Liao G
      • Xia M
      • Jiang D
      • Peng J
      • et al.
      Genetic variations in the CXCR5 gene decrease the risk of clinical relapse after discontinuation of nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis B.
      ProspectiveCombinedChina106SNPs, CXCR5 T cell activity, plasma CXCL13 levels2000 IU/mLx2 ULNNot specified23
      Xie, L., et al 2019
      • Xie L
      • Liao G
      • Chen H
      • Xia M
      • Huang X
      • Fong R
      • et al.
      Elevated expression of serum soluble ST2 in clinical relapse after stopping long-term Nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy for chronic hepatitis B.
      ProspectiveCombinedChina91Plasma sST2 levels2000 IU/mLx2 ULNCR12
      Garcia-Lopez, M., et al 2020
      • García-López M
      • Lens S
      • Pallett LJ
      • Testoni B
      • Rodriguez-Tajes S
      • Marino Z
      • et al.
      Viral and immune factors associated with successful treatment withdrawal in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients.
      ProspectiveHBeAg-Spain27Global and HBV-specific T cell activity2000 IU/mL.ALT >10x ULN [on 2 occasions], ALT >5-10x ULN & VR [4 weeks apart], or ALT >2-5x ULN & VR [6 months apart]34
      Papatheodoridi, M., et al 2020*24ProspectiveHBeAg-Greece57Plasma IP-10 levels2000 IU/mLx2 ULN (ULN = 40)ALT >10x ULN, ALT >2x ULN & DNA >100,000 IU/mL or ALT >2x ULN & DNA >2000 IU/mL [on 3 occasions]19
      Wubbolding, L.A., et al 2021
      • Wübbolding M
      • Lopez Alfonso JC
      • Lin CY
      • Binder S
      • Falk C
      • Debarry J
      • et al.
      Pilot Study Using Machine Learning to Identify Immune Profiles for the Prediction of Early Virological Relapse After Stopping Nucleos(t)ide Analogues in HBeAg-Negative CHB.
      ProspectiveHBeAg-Asia Pacific43Plasma cytokine, chemokine and growth factor levels2000 IU/mL.Not specified6
      Hall, S.A.H., et l 2022
      • Hall SA
      • Burns GS
      • Mooney BJ
      • Millen R
      • Morris R
      • Vogrin S
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B Virus Flares following Nucleot(s)ide Analogue Cessation Are Associated with Activation of TLR Signalling Pathways.
      ProspectiveHBeAg-Australia (mostly Asian)29TLR signalling and TLR/NK receptor expression.x10 ULN (severe flare)Not specified24
      Abbreviations: ALT: alanine transaminase; Bili: bilirubin; CR: clinical relapse; F: female; HBeAg+: initial e-Antigen positive population; HBeAg-: initial e-Antigen negative population; HBV DNA: hepatitis B virus deoxyribonucleic acid; M: male; PT: prothrombin time; SNP: single nucleotide polymorphism; ULN: upper limit of normal; VR: virological relapse; “.”: data not specified.
      Table 2APatient and Treatment Characteristics in Studies Exploring the Role of Viral Markers in Prediction of Partial and Functional Cure; Stratified by HBeAg Status.
      PaperTotal

      Patients
      AgeMaleGenotypeNucleoside AnalogueEOT HBsAg (log IU/mL)TTT (months)CT (months)VRCRHBsAg lossFollow-Up (months)
      HBeAg positive populations
      Fan, R., et al 2020A
      • Fan R
      • Zhou B
      • Xu M
      • Tan D
      • Niu J
      • Wang H
      • et al.
      Association Between Negative Results From Tests for HBV DNA and RNA and Durability of Response After Discontinuation of Nucles(t)ide Analogue Therapy.
      & Fan, R., et al 2020B
      • Fan R
      • Peng J
      • Xie Q
      • Tan D
      • Xu M
      • Niu J
      • et al.
      Combining Hepatitis B Virus RNA and Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen: Guidance for Safely Stopping Nucleos(t)ide Analogues in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Positive Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B.


      Derivation cohort
      12730.894B 57, C 73LdT +/- ADV3.135.720.45934148
      Evaluation cohort593646.ETV/TDF2.65428.2..666
      Liao, G., et al 2021
      • Liao G
      • Ding X
      • Xia M
      • Wu Y
      • Chen H
      • Fan R
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen is a Biomarker for off-Treatment Relapse After Long-Term Nucleos(t)ide Analog Therapy in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B.
      1223495B/C 40ETV/TDF 71, Other 512.5256.430.441236
      Xie, Y., et al 2021
      • Xie Y
      • Li M
      • Ou X
      • Zheng S
      • Gao Y
      • Xu X
      • et al.
      HBeAg-positive patients with HBsAg < 100 IU/mL and negative HBV RNA have lower risk of virological relapse after nucleos(t)ide analogues cessation.
      1393681.ETV 99, TDF 16, Other 243.276.869.670341324
      Chen, C.H., et al 2022
      • Chen CH
      • Peng CY
      • Kuo YH
      • Hu TH
      • Hung CH
      • Wang JH
      • et al.
      Earlier and Higher Rate of Hepatitis B Virus Relapse After Discontinuing Tenofovir Versus Entecavir in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Positive Patients.
      316ETV 40

      TDF 42
      216B 172, C 144ETV 205, TDF 111ETV 3.0

      TDF 2.9
      ETV 46.0

      TDF 46.2
      ETV 25

      TDF 25.8
      20616615
      HBeAg negative populations
      Honer Zu Siederdissen, C., et al 2016
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Rinker F
      • Maasoumy B
      • Wiegand SB
      • Filmann N
      • Falk CS
      • et al.
      Viral and Host Responses After Stopping Long-term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapy in HBeAg-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B.
      1549.112B 3, C 1,

      D 9
      .3.1>36>3613.312
      Carey, I., et al 2020
      • Carey I
      • Gersch J
      • Wang B
      • Moigboi C
      • Kuhns M
      • Cloherty G
      • et al.
      Pregenomic HBV RNA and Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen Predict Outcomes in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B Patients Suppressed on Nucleos(T)ide Analogue Therapy.
      234814A 4, B 3,

      C 1, D 5,

      E 10
      TDF 19, ETV 43.482.8>36.14017.9
      Garcia-Lopez, M., et al 2020
      • García-López M
      • Lens S
      • Pallett LJ
      • Testoni B
      • Rodriguez-Tajes S
      • Marino Z
      • et al.
      Viral and immune factors associated with successful treatment withdrawal in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients.
      275621A 3, C 1, D 21, F 2TDF 20, ETV 72.696>362117834
      Papatheodoridi, M., et al 2020
      • Papatheodoridi M
      • Hadziyannis E
      • Berby F
      • Zachou K
      • Testoni B
      • Rigopoulou E
      • et al.
      Predictors of hepatitis B surface antigen loss, relapse and retreatment after discontinuation of effective oral antiviral therapy in noncirrhotic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      576037Mainly DETV 18,

      TDF 39
      2.8>9663.642191419
      Cheng, H.R., et al 2021
      • Cheng HR
      • Yang HC
      • Lin SR
      • Yang TY
      • Lin YY
      • Su TH
      • et al.
      Combined viral quasispecies diversity and hepatitis B core-related antigen predict off-nucleos(t)ide analog durability in HBeAg-negative patients.
      5451.342B 54ETV 34, TDF 202.4637.2>1239..12
      Huang, P.Y., et al 2021
      • Huang PY
      • Wang JH
      • Hung CH
      • Lu SN
      • Hu TH
      • Chen CH
      The role of hepatitis B virus core-related antigen in predicting hepatitis B virus relapse after cessation of entecavir in hepatitis B e antigen-negative patients.
      30151.7244B 240, C 661ETV 3012.4342.234.62111594156.3
      Kuo, Y.H., et al 2021
      • Kuo YH
      • Wang JH
      • Hung CH
      • Lu SN
      • Hu TH
      • Chen CH
      Combining end-of-treatment HBsAg and baseline hepatitis B core-related antigen reduce HBV relapse rate after tenofovir cessation.
      18552.2146B 139, C 46TDF 1852.3739.531.7128991535.5
      Wubbolding, L.A., et al 2021
      • Wübbolding M
      • Lopez Alfonso JC
      • Lin CY
      • Binder S
      • Falk C
      • Debarry J
      • et al.
      Pilot Study Using Machine Learning to Identify Immune Profiles for the Prediction of Early Virological Relapse After Stopping Nucleos(t)ide Analogues in HBeAg-Negative CHB.
      435329.ETV 28, TDF 153.0>48>1227..6
      Papatheodoridi, M., et al 2022
      • Papatheodoridi M
      • Papachristou E
      • Moschidis Z
      • Hadziyannis E
      • Rigopoulou E
      • Zachou K
      • et al.
      Significance of serum HBV RNA in non-cirrhotic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients who discontinue effective antiviral therapy.
      576037Mainly DETV 18,

      TDF 39
      2.8>9663.642191438
      Combined HBeAg positive & negative populations
      Hsu, Y.C., et al 2019
      • Hsu YC
      • Nguyen MH
      • Mo LR
      • Wu MS
      • Yang TH
      • Chen CC
      • et al.
      Combining hepatitis B core-related and surface antigens at end of nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment to predict off-therapy relapse risk.
      13549.5109.ETV 113,

      TDF 22
      2.7736.725.2.66825.9
      Kaewdech, A., et al 2020
      • Kaewdech A
      • Tangkijvanich P
      • Sripongpun P
      • Witeerungrot T
      • Jandee S
      • Tanaka Y
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B surface antigen, core-related antigen and HBV RNA: Predicting clinical relapse after NA therapy discontinuation.
      925559.LMV 51, LMV+TDF 20, ETV 13, LdT 9, TDF 8, LMV+ADV 12.9678>12..212
      Lai, C.L., et al 2020
      • Lai CL
      • Wong DK
      • Wong GT
      • Seto WK
      • Fung J
      • Yuen MF
      Rebound of HBV DNA after cessation of nucleos/tide analogues in chronic hepatitis B patients with undetectable covalently closed.
      1356..ETV 8, LdT 3, TDF 22.6160.8>12123.17.5
      Liu, Y., et al 2020
      • Liu Y
      • Xue J
      • Liao W
      • Yan H
      • Liang X
      Serum HBV RNA Dynamic and Drug Withdrawal Predictor Value in Patients With Chronic HBV Infection on Long-term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue (NA) Therapy.
      304621.ETV 17,

      LMV 8, ADV 2, ADV+LMV 3
      1.9157.5>12117.24
      Seto, W.K., et al 2020
      • Seto WK
      • Liu KS
      • Mak LY
      • Cloherty G
      • Wong DK
      • Gersch J
      • et al.
      Role of serum HBV RNA and hepatitis B surface antigen levels in identifying Asian patients with chronic hepatitis B suitable for entecavir cessation.
      11458.475.ETV1.7480.463.66224812
      Tseng, T.N., et al 2020a2613552.6104B 103,

      C 32
      ETV 79,

      TDF 56
      1.3238.831.350383920.1
      Sonneveld, M.J., et al 2021
      • Sonneveld MJ
      • Park JY
      • Kaewdech A
      • Seto WK
      • Tanaka Y
      • Carey I
      • et al.
      Prediction of Sustained Response After Nucleo(s)tide Analogue Cessation Using HBsAg and HBcrAg Levels: A Multicenter Study (CREATE).
      57252390.ETV 295, TDF 150<1.7: 14%

      1.7-2: 8%

      2-3: 33%

      >3: 46%
      73.8As per APASL & EASL267922412
      Xia, M., et al 2021
      • Xia M
      • Chi H
      • Wu Y
      • Hansen BE
      • Li Z
      • Liu S
      • et al.
      Serum hepatitis B virus RNA level is associated with biochemical relapse in patients with chronic hepatitis B infection who discontinue nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment.
      135SR 35

      CR 38
      110.1st line 74,

      2nd line 61
      SR 2.3

      CR 2.8
      .SR 30.0

      CR 28.0
      .501331.2
      Kaewdech, A., et al 2022
      • Kaewdech A
      • Assawasuwannakit S
      • Sripongpun P
      • Chamroonkul N
      • Tangkijvanich P
      • Piratvisuth T
      Clinical Utility of SCALE-B to Predict Hepatitis B Virus Relapse, Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Loss After Antiviral Cessation in Asian Patients After 2-Year Follow-up.
      925559.LMV 51, LMV+TDF 20, ETV 13, LdT 9, TDF 8, LMV+ADV 12.9678>12..735.5
      Sonneveld, M.J., et al 2022
      • Sonneveld MJ
      • Chiu SM
      • Park JY
      • Brakenhoff SM
      • Kaewdech A
      • Seto WK
      • et al.
      Probability of HBsAg loss after nucleo(s)tide analogue withdrawal depends on HBV genotype and viral antigen levels.
      121650880A 19, B 497, C 368, D 81, E 16ETV 717, TDF 372<1: 5.3%

      1-2: 15.8%

      >2: 78.9%
      41.8As per APASL & EASL..9825.6
      Abbreviations: ADV: adefovir; ALT: alanine transaminase; CR: clinical relapse; CT: consolidation time; eAg+: e-Antigen positive; eAg-: e-Antigen negative; ETV: entecavir; EOT: end-of-treatment; HBsAg: hepatitis B surface antigen (measured in log IU/mL); HBV DNA: hepatitis B virus deoxyribonucleic acid (measured in log copies/mL); SR: sustained response; TDF: tenofovir; TTT: total treatment time (measured in months); ULN: upper limit of normal; VR: viral relapse; “.”: data not specified. Note #1: Fan, R., et al 2020A & Fan, R. et al 2020B use overlapping patient cohorts.
      Table 2BPatient and Treatment Characteristics in Studies Exploring the Role of Immune Markers in Prediction of Partial and Functional Cure.
      PaperTotal PatientsAgeMaleGenotypeNAEOT HBsAg (log IU/mL)TTT (months)CT (months)VRCRHBsAg lossFollow-Up (months)
      Honer Zu Siederdissen, C., et al 2016
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Rinker F
      • Maasoumy B
      • Wiegand SB
      • Filmann N
      • Falk CS
      • et al.
      Viral and Host Responses After Stopping Long-term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapy in HBeAg-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B.
      1549.112B 3, C 1,

      D 9
      .3.1.>36>3613.312
      Rinker, F., et al 2018
      • Rinker F
      • Zimmer CL
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Manns MP
      • Kraft ARM
      • Wedemeyer H
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B virus-specific T cell responses after stopping nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      As above
      Zimmer, C.L., et al 2018
      • Zimmer CL
      • Rinker F
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Manns MP
      • Wedemeyer H
      • Cornberg M
      • et al.
      Increased NK Cell Function After Cessation of Long-Term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Treatment in Chronic Hepatitis B Is Associated With Liver Damage and HBsAg Loss.
      As above
      Rivino, L., et al 2018
      • Rivino L
      • Le Bert N
      • Gill US
      • Kunasegaran K
      • Cheng Y
      • Tan DZ
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B virus-specific T cells associate with viral control upon nucleos(t)ide-analogue therapy discontinuation.


      Cohort 1
      1946A 1, B 4, C 2, D 11, E 1TDF+LMV3.6>18>186.6
      Cohort 22751.7B 17, C 7ETV/TDF/LdT3.1>18>1811.8.8
      Su, T.H., et al 2018
      • Su TH
      • Yang HC
      • Tseng TC
      • Liou JM
      • Liu CH
      • Chen CL
      • et al.
      Distinct Relapse Rates and Risk Predictors After Discontinuing Tenofovir and Entecavir Therapy.
      1005172B 74ETV 66,

      TDF 34
      ETV 2.64

      TDF 2.88
      37267045.35
      Chi, H., et al 2019
      • Chi H
      • Li Z
      • Hansen BE
      • Yu T
      • Zhang X
      • Sun J
      • et al.
      Serum Level of Antibodies Against Hepatitis B Core Protein Is Associated With Clinical Relapse After Discontinuation of Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapy.
      100eAg+ 33

      eAg- 41
      86.1st line 43,

      2nd line 57
      eAg+ 2.8 eAg- 2.5eAg+ 46.8

      eAg-57.6
      eAg+ 26.4 eAg- 34.87639630
      Kranidioti, H., et al 2019
      • Kranidioti H
      • Manolakopoulos S
      • Kontos G
      • Breen MS
      • Kourikou A
      • Deutsch M
      • et al.
      Immunological biomarkers as indicators for outcome after discontinuation of nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy in patients with HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      235915..3.496>36.13455.2
      Wu, Y., et al 2019
      • Wu Y
      • Fan J
      • Liao G
      • Xia M
      • Jiang D
      • Peng J
      • et al.
      Genetic variations in the CXCR5 gene decrease the risk of clinical relapse after discontinuation of nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis B.
      1063684..3.2>12>12.36.22.8
      Xie, L., et al 2019
      • Xie L
      • Liao G
      • Chen H
      • Xia M
      • Huang X
      • Fong R
      • et al.
      Elevated expression of serum soluble ST2 in clinical relapse after stopping long-term Nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy for chronic hepatitis B.
      913675..2.9>12>125726.12
      Garcia-Lopez, M., et al 2020
      • García-López M
      • Lens S
      • Pallett LJ
      • Testoni B
      • Rodriguez-Tajes S
      • Marino Z
      • et al.
      Viral and immune factors associated with successful treatment withdrawal in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients.
      275621A 3, C 1, D 21, F 2TDF 20, ETV 72.696>362117834
      Papatheodoridi, M., et al 2020
      • Papatheodoridi M
      • Hadziyannis E
      • Berby F
      • Zachou K
      • Testoni B
      • Rigopoulou E
      • et al.
      Predictors of hepatitis B surface antigen loss, relapse and retreatment after discontinuation of effective oral antiviral therapy in noncirrhotic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      576037Mainly DETV 18,

      TDF 39
      2.8>4863.642191419
      Wubbolding, L.A., et al 2021
      • Wübbolding M
      • Lopez Alfonso JC
      • Lin CY
      • Binder S
      • Falk C
      • Debarry J
      • et al.
      Pilot Study Using Machine Learning to Identify Immune Profiles for the Prediction of Early Virological Relapse After Stopping Nucleos(t)ide Analogues in HBeAg-Negative CHB.
      435329.ETV 28, TDF 153.0>48>1227..6
      Hall, S.A.L, et al 2022
      • Hall SA
      • Burns GS
      • Mooney BJ
      • Millen R
      • Morris R
      • Vogrin S
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B Virus Flares following Nucleot(s)ide Analogue Cessation Are Associated with Activation of TLR Signalling Pathways.
      29No flare 54

      Flare 60
      17.ETV 18, TDF 6No flare 2.7

      Flare 3.1
      >24>18.17024
      Abbreviations: ADV: adefovir; ALT: alanine transaminase; CR: clinical relapse; CT: consolidation time; eAg+: e-Antigen positive; eAg-: e-Antigen negative; ETV: entecavir; EOT: end-of-treatment; HBsAg: hepatitis B surface antigen (measured in log IU/mL); HBV DNA: hepatitis B virus deoxyribonucleic acid (measured in log copies/mL); LdT: telbivudine; SR: sustained response; TDF: tenofovir; TTT: total treatment time (measured in months); ULN: upper limit of normal; VR: viral relapse; “.”: data not specified. Note #1: Honer Zu Siederdissen, C., et al 2016, Rinker, F., et al 2018 and Zimmer, C.L., et al 2018 use the same patient cohort.

      Novel Viral Markers

      HBcrAg and partial cure

      The association between HBcrAg and VR was evaluated in 14 studies (Table 3), 4 of which produced significant multivariate HRs.
      • Liao G
      • Ding X
      • Xia M
      • Wu Y
      • Chen H
      • Fan R
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen is a Biomarker for off-Treatment Relapse After Long-Term Nucleos(t)ide Analog Therapy in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B.
      ,
      • Sonneveld MJ
      • Park JY
      • Kaewdech A
      • Seto WK
      • Tanaka Y
      • Carey I
      • et al.
      Prediction of Sustained Response After Nucleo(s)tide Analogue Cessation Using HBsAg and HBcrAg Levels: A Multicenter Study (CREATE).
      ,
      • Xie Y
      • Li M
      • Ou X
      • Zheng S
      • Gao Y
      • Xu X
      • et al.
      HBeAg-positive patients with HBsAg < 100 IU/mL and negative HBV RNA have lower risk of virological relapse after nucleos(t)ide analogues cessation.
      ,
      • Chen CH
      • Peng CY
      • Kuo YH
      • Hu TH
      • Hung CH
      • Wang JH
      • et al.
      Earlier and Higher Rate of Hepatitis B Virus Relapse After Discontinuing Tenofovir Versus Entecavir in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Positive Patients.
      At the end of treatment (EOT) HBcrAg cut-off of 4 log U/mL in HBeAg positive populations, Liao et al
      • Liao G
      • Ding X
      • Xia M
      • Wu Y
      • Chen H
      • Fan R
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen is a Biomarker for off-Treatment Relapse After Long-Term Nucleos(t)ide Analog Therapy in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B.
      demonstrated a multivariate HR 1.73 (1.06-2.80, p<0.027) for 5-year VR, while Xie et al
      • Xie Y
      • Li M
      • Ou X
      • Zheng S
      • Gao Y
      • Xu X
      • et al.
      HBeAg-positive patients with HBsAg < 100 IU/mL and negative HBV RNA have lower risk of virological relapse after nucleos(t)ide analogues cessation.
      demonstrated a multivariate OR of 3.70 (1.61-8.49, p=0.002) for 2-year VR. Furthermore, a recent large-scale study pooling European and Asian cohorts
      • Sonneveld MJ
      • Park JY
      • Kaewdech A
      • Seto WK
      • Tanaka Y
      • Carey I
      • et al.
      Prediction of Sustained Response After Nucleo(s)tide Analogue Cessation Using HBsAg and HBcrAg Levels: A Multicenter Study (CREATE).
      (including both HBeAg positive and negative patients) reported that lower EOT HBcrAg levels were significantly associated with higher rates of virological remission/response with multivariate OR 0.73 per log U/mL (0.62-0.86, p<0.001). Seven studies reported the cumulative rates of VR stratified by the level of baseline or EOT HBcrAg, with varying observation periods and cut-off levels of HBcrAg (Figure 2a). For instance, Tseng et al
      • Tseng TN
      • Hu TH
      • Wang JH
      • Kuo YH
      • Hung CH
      • Lu SN
      • et al.
      Incidence and Factors Associated With HBV Relapse After Cessation of Entecavir or Tenofovir in Patients With HBsAg Below 100 IU/mL.
      demonstrated significantly different 5-year VR rates of 23.8% vs 53% in patients with baseline HBcrAg <4 log U/mL and >4 log U/mL respectively (p=0.001), yet returning no significant findings when exploring EOT HBcrAg, in a majority HBeAg negative population. Huang et al
      • Huang PY
      • Wang JH
      • Hung CH
      • Lu SN
      • Hu TH
      • Chen CH
      The role of hepatitis B virus core-related antigen in predicting hepatitis B virus relapse after cessation of entecavir in hepatitis B e antigen-negative patients.
      also found that baseline HBcrAg at the cut-off 4 log U/mL was a significant predictor for VR in their HBeAg negative population, while EOT HBcrAg was not.
      Table 3Summary of Novel Viral Markers.
      PaperRelation with VRRelation with CRRelation with HBsAg clearance
      HBeAg positive populations
      Fan, R., et al 2020A
      • Fan R
      • Zhou B
      • Xu M
      • Tan D
      • Niu J
      • Wang H
      • et al.
      Association Between Negative Results From Tests for HBV DNA and RNA and Durability of Response After Discontinuation of Nucles(t)ide Analogue Therapy.


      EOT HBV RNA: 26% undetected

      EOT HBV DNA: 48.5% undetected; 43.8% <20 IU/mL
      Serum HBV DNA is quantified using the COBAS Taqman HBV test, with a lower limit of detection of 20 IU/mL. This study specifically made a distinction between patients with undetectable HBV DNA (48.5%) and patients with HBV DNA <20 IU/mL (43.8%), which was not performed in other studies.


      EOT HBV RNA & EOT HBV DNA: 19.7% undetected
      EOT HBV RNA

      AUROC 0.775

      EOT HBV DNA & EOT HBV RNA:

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 4-year CR: no p value

      DNA negative & RNA <3 log U/mL: 8%

      DNA positive or RNA >3 log U/mL: 37%

      MV HR (DNA + or RNA >3 log U/mL vs

      DNA - & RNA <3 log U/mL): 11.10 (2.69-45.80) p=0.00
      EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 4-year CR: p=0.03

      RNA <3 log U/mL: 15.3%

      RNA >3 log U/mL: 37.0%

      AUROC 0.732

      EOT HBV DNA & EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 4-year CR: p=0.02

      DNA negative & RNA <3 log U/mL: 8% (NPV 92%)

      DNA positive or RNA >3 log U/mL: 31.4%

      MV HR (DNA + or RNA >3 log U/mL vs

      DNA – & RNA <3 log U/mL): 4.54 (1.08-19.00) p=0.04
      N/A
      Fan, R., et al 2020B
      • Fan R
      • Peng J
      • Xie Q
      • Tan D
      • Xu M
      • Niu J
      • et al.
      Combining Hepatitis B Virus RNA and Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen: Guidance for Safely Stopping Nucleos(t)ide Analogues in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Positive Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B.


      EOT HBcrAg:

      4.3 log U/mL

      EOT HBV RNA:

      3 log copies/mL, 31.5% undetected
      N/AEOT HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 4-year CR: p=0.00

      HBcrAg <4 log U/mL: 7.3%

      HBcrAg >4 log U/mL: 39.5%

      MV HR (>4 vs <4 log U/mL): 5.70 (1.37-23.67) p=0.02

      AUROC 0.621

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative incidence of 4-year CR: p=0.00

      RNA <3 log U/mL: 12.9%

      RNA >3 log U/mL: 40.1%

      MV HR (>3 vs <3 log U/mL): 3.58 (1.26-10.14) p=0.02

      AUROC 0.635

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      EOT HBcrAg & EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative incidence of 4-year CR: p=0.00

      RNA <3 log U/mL & HBcrAg <4 log U/mL: 0%

      RNA >3 log U/mL or HBcrAg >4 log U/mL: 17.3%

      RNA >3 log U/mL & HBcrAg >4 log U/mL: 46.8%

      AUROC 0.696
      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      EOT HBcrAg & EOT HBV RNA

      In combination with the validation cohort:

      Cumulative incidence of 4-year clearance: p=0.00

      RNA <3 log U/mL & HBcrAg <4 log U/mL: 16.1%

      RNA >3 log U/mL or HBcrAg >4 log U/mL 1.3%
      Liao, G., et al 2021
      • Liao G
      • Ding X
      • Xia M
      • Wu Y
      • Chen H
      • Fan R
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen is a Biomarker for off-Treatment Relapse After Long-Term Nucleos(t)ide Analog Therapy in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B.


      EOT HBcrAg:

      3.8 log U/mL
      EOT HBcrAg

      MV HR (>4 vs <4 log U/mL): 1.725 (1.063-2.800) p<0.027
      EOT HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 5-year CR: p<0.001

      HBcrAg < 4 log U/mL: 23.2%

      HBcrAg > 4 log U/mL: 65.8%

      MV HR (>4 vs <4 log U/mL): 2.105 (1.440-3.077) p<0.001

      AUROC 0.78 at 1 year, 0.71 at 3 years, 0.71 at 5 years

      Sensitivity 87.1%, Specificity 61.5%, PPV 50%,

      NPV 92.2%

      EOT HBsAg & EOT HBcrAg

      Cumulative incidence of 5-year CR: p<0.001

      HBsAg >2 log IU/mL & HBcrAg <4 log U/mL: 29.4%

      HBsAg >2 log IU/mL & HBcrAg >4 log U/mL: 78.1%

      SCALE-B Score Evaluation

      Cumulative incidence of 5-year CR: p<0.001

      Low risk: 22.2%

      Medium risk: 50%

      High risk: 82.2%

      AUROC 0.81 at 1 year, 0.74 at 3 years, 0.75 at 5 years
      EOT HBcrAg

      Only 4 of 12 patients achieving HBsAg loss had undetectable HBcrAg
      Xie, Y., et al 2021
      • Xie Y
      • Li M
      • Ou X
      • Zheng S
      • Gao Y
      • Xu X
      • et al.
      HBeAg-positive patients with HBsAg < 100 IU/mL and negative HBV RNA have lower risk of virological relapse after nucleos(t)ide analogues cessation.


      EOT HBcrAg:

      3.8 log U/mL

      EOT HBV RNA:

      0 log copies/mL, 71% undetected
      EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 2-year VR: p<0.001

      RNA negative: 39.4%

      RNA positive: 77.5%

      MV OR (RNA – vs +): 3.453 (1.387-8.597) p=0.008

      AUROC 0.656

      EOT HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 2-year VR: p<0.001

      HBcrAg <4 log U/mL: 36.3%

      HBcrAg >4 log U/mL: 74.5%

      MV OR (>4 vs <4 log U/mL): 3.702 (1.614-8.488) p=0.002

      AUROC 0.616

      EOT HBsAg & EOT HBcrAg

      Cumulative incidence of 2-year VR: p<0.001

      HBsAg <2 log IU/mL & HBcrAg <4 log U/mL: 10.5%

      HBsAg >2 log IU/mL &/or HBcrAg >4 log U/mL: 56.7%

      AUROC 0.609

      EOT HBsAg & EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative incidence of 2-year VR: p<0.001

      HBsAg <2 log IU/mL & HBV RNA negative: 5%

      HBsAg >2 log IU/mL &/or HBV RNA positive: 58%

      AUROC 0.698

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      EOT HBcrAg & EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative incidence of 2-year VR: p<0.001

      HBcrAg <4 log U/mL & HBV RNA negative: 31%

      HBcrAg >4 log U/mL &/or HBV RNA positive: 70.6%

      AUROC 0.631

      EOT HBsAg, HBcrAG & HBV RNA

      Cumulative incidence of 2-year VR:

      HBsAg <2 log IU/mL & HBcrAg <4 log U/mL

      & HBV RNA negative: 5.6%

      AUROC 0.616
      EOT HBV RNA

      MV OR (RNA – vs +): 4.782 (1.968-11.621) p=0.001
      Chen, C.H., et al 2022
      • Chen CH
      • Peng CY
      • Kuo YH
      • Hu TH
      • Hung CH
      • Wang JH
      • et al.
      Earlier and Higher Rate of Hepatitis B Virus Relapse After Discontinuing Tenofovir Versus Entecavir in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Positive Patients.


      EOT HBcrAg:

      4.4-4.5 log U/mL
      Baseline HBcrAg

      UV HR (per log U/mL): 1.11 (0.92-1.33) p=0.265

      EOT HBcrAg

      MV HR (per log U/mL): 1.54 (1.22-1.96) p<0.001
      Baseline HBcrAg

      UV HR (per log U/mL): 1.15 (0.92-1.43) p=0.220

      EOT HBcrAg

      MV HR (per log U/mL): 1.63 (1.27-2.09) p<0.001
      HBeAg negative populations
      Honer Zu Siederdissen, C., et al 2016
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Rinker F
      • Maasoumy B
      • Wiegand SB
      • Filmann N
      • Falk CS
      • et al.
      Viral and Host Responses After Stopping Long-term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapy in HBeAg-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B.
      N/AN/AEOT HBcrAg & EOT HBsAg

      The 3 out of 15 patients with HBsAg loss demonstrated a >1 log HBsAg reduction over median 33 (12-50) month follow-up and had a strong increase in HBV DNA (>4 x 105 IU/mL) and >90-fold increase in HBcrAg at 4-8 weeks post EOT
      Carey, I., et al 2020
      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      17

      EOT HBcrAg:

      2.0 log U/mL,

      83% undetected

      EOT pgRNA:

      0 log U/mL,

      87% undetected
      EOT HBsAg

      No significant change after NA withdrawal

      Steeper HBsAg decline correlated with lower baseline HBsAg, HBcrAg, RNA & EOT HBsAg levels

      EOT HBcrAg & EOT HBV pgRNA

      Transient resolving elevations after NA cessation

      CR occurred only in the 4 patients with HBcrAg >3 log U/mL (100% sensitivity, specificity & PPV)

      3 of these patients had RNA >1.65 log U/mL (75% sensitivity, 100% specificity, 100% PPV)
      Garcia-Lopez, et al 2020
      • García-López M
      • Lens S
      • Pallett LJ
      • Testoni B
      • Rodriguez-Tajes S
      • Marino Z
      • et al.
      Viral and immune factors associated with successful treatment withdrawal in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients.


      EOT HBcrAg:

      3.2 log U/mL,

      52% undetected

      EOT HBV RNA: 2.1 log copies/mL, 59% undetected
      EOT HBcrAg and HBV-RNA

      More frequently undetectable in patients who achieved HBsAg loss than in patients who did not HBcrAg: 75% vs. 42%; p = 0.12

      HBV-RNA: 88% vs. 47%; p = 0.053
      Papatheodoridi, M., et al 2020
      • Papatheodoridi M
      • Hadziyannis E
      • Berby F
      • Zachou K
      • Testoni B
      • Rigopoulou E
      • et al.
      Predictors of hepatitis B surface antigen loss, relapse and retreatment after discontinuation of effective oral antiviral therapy in noncirrhotic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.


      EOT HBcrAg:

      <2 log U/mL,

      62% undetected
      EOT HBcrAg

      HR: Not significantly associated with VR
      EOT HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 2-yr retreatment: p=0.03

      HBcrAg >2 log U/mL: 45%

      HBcrAg <2 log U/mL: 17%

      MV HR per log U/mL: 1.86 (1.11-3.11) p=0.02

      MV HR (>2 vs <2 log U/mL): 3.64 (1.23-10.75) p=0.02
      EOT HBcrAg

      HR: Not significantly associated with clearance
      Cheng, H.R., et al 2021
      • Cheng HR
      • Yang HC
      • Lin SR
      • Yang TY
      • Lin YY
      • Su TH
      • et al.
      Combined viral quasispecies diversity and hepatitis B core-related antigen predict off-nucleos(t)ide analog durability in HBeAg-negative patients.


      EOT HBcrAg:

      3.6 log U/mL
      EOT HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 1-year VR: p<0.001

      HBcrAg <3.3 log U/mL: 60.0%

      HBcrAg >3.3 log U/mL: 94.7%

      HR (>3.3 vs <3.3 log U/mL): 3.31 (1.72-6.38) p<0.001

      AUROC 7.017
      Huang, P.Y., et al 2021
      • Huang PY
      • Wang JH
      • Hung CH
      • Lu SN
      • Hu TH
      • Chen CH
      The role of hepatitis B virus core-related antigen in predicting hepatitis B virus relapse after cessation of entecavir in hepatitis B e antigen-negative patients.


      Baseline HBcrAg:

      4.9 log U/mL

      EOT HBCrAg:

      3.4 log U/mL
      Baseline HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 5-year VR: p<0.001

      HBcrAg <4 log U/mL: 56.5%

      HBcrAg >4log U/mL: 79%

      UV HR (per log U/mL): 1.086 (1.008-1.171) p=0.031

      Not significantly associated in MV analysis

      EOT HBsAg & Baseline HBcrAg

      Cumulative incidence of 5-year VR: p=0.006

      HBsAg <150 IU/mL & HBcrAg <4 log U/mL: 27.9%

      HBsAg <150 IU/mL & HBcrAg >4 log U/mL: 59.1%

      HBsAg >150 IU/mL & HBcrAg <4 log U/mL: 75.9%

      HBsAg >150 IU/mL & HBcrAg >4 log U/mL: 84.2%

      MV HR (HBsAg <150 IU/mL & HBcrAg <4 log U/mL): 0.370 (0.187-0.730) p=0.004

      EOT HBcrAg

      HR: Not significantly associated with VR
      Baseline HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 5-year CR: p=0.001

      HBcrAg <4 log U/mL: 41.8%

      HBcrAg >4log U/mL: 65%

      Not significantly associated in UV or MV analysis

      EOT HBsAg & Baseline HBcrAg

      Cumulative incidence of 5-year CR: p=0.014

      HBsAg <150 IU/mL & HBcrAg <4 log U/mL: 18%

      HBsAg <150 IU/mL & HBcrAg >4 log U/mL: 48.1%

      HBsAg >150 IU/mL & HBcrAg <4 log U/mL: 58.8%

      HBsAg >150 IU/mL & HBcrAg >4 log U/mL: 69.1%

      MV HR (HBsAg <150 IU/mL & HBcrAg <4 log U/mL): 0.356 (0.156-0.811) p=0.014

      EOT HBcrAg

      HR: Not significantly associated with CR
      Baseline HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 5-year clearance: p=0.002

      HBcrAg <3.7 log U/mL: 29.4%

      HBcrAg >3.7 log U/mL: 13.5%

      UV HR (per log U/mL): 0.815 (0.692-0.961) p=0.015

      Not significantly associated in MV analysis
      Kuo, Y.H., et al 2021
      • Kuo YH
      • Wang JH
      • Hung CH
      • Lu SN
      • Hu TH
      • Chen CH
      Combining end-of-treatment HBsAg and baseline hepatitis B core-related antigen reduce HBV relapse rate after tenofovir cessation.


      Baseline HBcrAg: 5.3 log U/mL

      EOT HBcrAg:

      3.3 log U/mL
      Baseline HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 3-year VR: p<0.001

      HBcrAg <4.7 log U/mL: 55.1%

      HBcrAg >4.7 log U/mL: 82.4%

      UV HR (per log U/mL): 1.201 (1.078-1.338) p=0.001

      Not significantly associated in MV analysis

      AUROC 0.688

      EOT HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 3-year VR: p=0.001

      HBcrAg <3 log U/mL: 61.4%

      HBcrAg >3 log U/mL: 84.2%

      UV HR (per log U/mL): 1.489 (1.133-1.955) p=0.004

      Not significantly associated in MV analysis

      AUROC 0.640

      EOT HBsAg & Baseline HBcrAg

      Cumulative incidence of 3-year VR: p=0.003, p=0.470

      HBsAg <2 log IU/mL & HBcrAg <4.7 log U/mL: 20.3%

      HBsAg <2 log IU/mL & HBcrAg >4.7 log U/mL: 60.4%

      HBsAg >2 log IU/mL & HBcrAg <4.7 log U/mL: 80.6%

      HBsAg >2 log IU/mL & HBcrAg >4.7 log U/mL: 87.3%

      EOT HBsAg & EOT HBcrAg

      Cumulative incidence of 3-year VR: p=0.149

      HBsAg <2 log IU/mL & HBcrAg <3 log U/mL: 30.4%

      HBsAg <2 log IU/mL & HBcrAg >3 log U/mL: 51.8%
      Baseline HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 3-year CR: p<0.001

      HBcrAg <4.7 log U/mL: 39.4%

      HBcrAg >4.7 log U/mL: 72.6%

      UV HR (per log U/mL): 1.227 (1.083-1.391) p=0.001

      Not significantly associated in MV analysis

      EOT HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 3-year CR: p=0.008

      HBcrAg <3 log U/mL: 48%

      HBcrAg >3 log U/mL: 73.3%

      UV HR (per log U/mL): 1.569 (1.157-2.127) p=0.004

      Not significantly associated in MV analysis

      EOT HBsAg & Baseline HBcrAg

      Cumulative incidence of 3-year CR: p<0.001, p=0.322

      HBsAg <2 log IU/mL & HBcrAg <4.7 log U/mL: 10.3%

      HBsAg <2 log IU/mL & HBcrAg >4.7 log U/mL: 59.5%

      HBsAg >2 log IU/mL & HBcrAg <4.7 log U/mL: 62.1%

      HBsAg >2 log IU/mL & HBcrAg >4.7 log U/mL: 75.4%

      EOT HBsAg & EOT HBcrAg

      Cumulative incidence of 3-year CR: p=0.142

      HBsAg <2 log IU/mL & HBcrAg <3 log U/mL: 22.2%

      HBsAg <2 log IU/mL & HBcrAg >3 log U/mL: 46.4%
      Baseline HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 3-year clearance: p<0.001

      HBcrAg <3 log U/mL: 42.9%

      HBcrAg >3 log U/mL: 7.9%

      AUROC 0.688
      Wubbolding, L. A., et al 2021
      • Wübbolding M
      • Lopez Alfonso JC
      • Lin CY
      • Binder S
      • Falk C
      • Debarry J
      • et al.
      Pilot Study Using Machine Learning to Identify Immune Profiles for the Prediction of Early Virological Relapse After Stopping Nucleos(t)ide Analogues in HBeAg-Negative CHB.


      EOT HBcrAg:

      3.0 log U/mL
      HBcrAg

      AUROC 0.56
      Papatheodoridi, M., et al 2022
      • Papatheodoridi M
      • Papachristou E
      • Moschidis Z
      • Hadziyannis E
      • Rigopoulou E
      • Zachou K
      • et al.
      Significance of serum HBV RNA in non-cirrhotic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients who discontinue effective antiviral therapy.


      EOT HBcrAg:

      <2 log U/mL

      EOT RNA:

      93% undetected
      EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 12-month VR: p=0.306

      RNA negative: 68%

      RNA positive: 100%

      HR (positive vs negative); 3.20 (1.10-9.32) p=0.033

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      EOT HBcrAg & EOT HBV RNA

      HBcrAg >2 log U/mL & RNA positive: p=0.042

      47% of patients with VR and 18% of patients without VR

      HR (either positive vs both negative): not significant

      EOT HBsAg, EOT HBcrAg & EOT HBV RNA

      HBsAg > 3 log IU/mL & HBcrAg >2 log U/mL & RNA positive: p=0.209

      58% of patients with VR and 35% of patients without VR

      HR (any positive vs both negative): not significant
      EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 12-month CR: p=0.01

      RNA negative: 28%

      RNA positive: 100%

      HR (positive vs negative): 4.73 (1.51-14.86) p=0.008

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      EOT HBcrAg & EOT HBV RNA

      HBcrAg >2 log U/mL & RNA positive: p=0.07

      59% of patients with CR and 29% of patients without CR

      HR (either positive vs both negative): not significant

      EOT HBsAg, EOT HBcrAg & EOT HBV RNA

      HBsAg > 3 log IU/mL & HBcrAg >2 log U/mL & RNA positive: p=0.097

      71% of patients with CR and 42% of patients without CR

      HR (any positive vs both negative): not significant
      EOT HBV RNA

      HR (positive vs negative): Not significantly associated with clearance

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      EOT HBcrAg & EOT HBV RNA

      HBcrAg >2 log U/mL & RNA positive: p=0.009

      0% of patients with HBsAg loss and 46% of patients without HBsAg loss

      HR (either positive vs both negative): not significant

      EOT HBsAg, EOT HBcrAg & EOT HBV RNA

      HBsAg > 3 log IU/mL & HBcrAg >2 log U/mL & RNA positive: p=0.003

      0% of patients with HbsAg loss and 61% of patients without VR

      HR (any positive vs both negative): not significant
      Combined HBeAg positive & negative populations
      Hsu, Y.C. et al 2019
      • Hsu YC
      • Nguyen MH
      • Mo LR
      • Wu MS
      • Yang TH
      • Chen CC
      • et al.
      Combining hepatitis B core-related and surface antigens at end of nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment to predict off-therapy relapse risk.


      EOT HBcrAg:

      3.0 log U/mL
      N/AEOT HBcrAg

      MV HR per log U/mL: 1.48 (1.20-1.83) p=0.00

      AUROC 0.61-0.75
      EOT HBcrAg

      UV HR per log IU/mL: 0.44 (0.23-0.86) p=0.02
      Kaewdech, A., et al 2020
      • Kaewdech A
      • Tangkijvanich P
      • Sripongpun P
      • Witeerungrot T
      • Jandee S
      • Tanaka Y
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B surface antigen, core-related antigen and HBV RNA: Predicting clinical relapse after NA therapy discontinuation.


      EOT HBcrAg:

      3.2 log U/mL, 63% undetected (4.0 in HBeAg positive, 3.0 in HBeAg negative)

      EOT HBV RNA: 2.0 log copies/mL, 49% undetected (2.0 in HBeAg positive, 2.2 in HBeAg negative)
      EOT HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 48-wk VR: p=0.01

      HBcrAg <3 log U/mL: 44.1%

      HBcrAg >3 log U/mL: 74.1%

      AUROC 0.686

      EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 48-wk VR: p=0.05

      HBV RNA <2 log U/mL: 50%

      HBV RNA >2 log U/mL: 72%

      AUROC 0.648

      EOT HBcrAg & EOT HBV RNA

      AUROC 0.742

      EOT HBsAg, EOT HBcrAg & EOT HBV RNA

      AUROC 0.746
      EOT HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 48-wk CR: p=0.00

      HBcrAg <3 log U/mL: 8.8%

      HBcrAg >3 log U/mL: 48.3%

      MV HR per log U/mL: 2.21 (1.50-3.24) p=0.00

      AUROC 0.773

      EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 48-wk CR: p=0.04

      RNA <2 log U/mL: 21.1%

      RNA >2 log U/mL: 42.6%

      MV HR per log U/mL: 1.32 (1.02-1.70) p=0.03

      AUROC: 0.657

      EOT HBcrAg & EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 48-wk CR: p=0.00

      RNA <2 log U/mL & HBcrAg <3 log U/mL: 0%

      RNA >2 log U/mL or HBcrAg >3 log U/mL: 22.9%

      RNA >2 log U/mL & HBcrAg >3 log U/mL: 62.5%

      AUROC 0.816

      EOT HBsAg, EOT HBcrAg & EOT HBV RNA

      AUROC 0.807
      EOT HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 48-wk clearance: p=0.06

      HBcrAg <3 log U/mL: 5.9%

      HBcrAg >3 log U/mL: 0%

      EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 48-wk clearance: p=0.5

      RNA <2 log U/mL: 3.7%

      RNA >2 log U/mL: 0%
      Lai, C.L., et al 2020
      • Lai CL
      • Wong DK
      • Wong GT
      • Seto WK
      • Fung J
      • Yuen MF
      Rebound of HBV DNA after cessation of nucleos/tide analogues in chronic hepatitis B patients with undetectable covalently closed.


      EOT HBcrAg:

      3.4 log U/mL,

      31% undetected

      EOT HBV RNA: 100% undetected
      EOT HBcrAg

      Median HBcrAg at VR: 3.76 log U/mL

      Significantly higher than at EOT (p=0.005)

      EOT HBV RNA

      RNA remained undetected in all but 1 patient after VR
      Liu, Y., et al 2020
      • Liu Y
      • Xue J
      • Liao W
      • Yan H
      • Liang X
      Serum HBV RNA Dynamic and Drug Withdrawal Predictor Value in Patients With Chronic HBV Infection on Long-term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue (NA) Therapy.


      EOT HBV RNA: 55% undetected (59% in HBeAg positive, 46% in HBeAg negative)
      EOT HBV RNA

      UV HR (negative vs positive): 0.37 (0.10-1.37) p=0.14

      Not significant

      EOT HBsAg & EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative incidence of 2-year VR: no p value

      HBsAg < 2 log IU/mL & RNA negative 10%

      HBsAg < 3 log IU/mL & RNA negative 23%

      MV HR (HBsAg <3 log IU/mL & RNA negative):

      0.20 (0.05-0.91) p=0.037
      EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 2-year CR: p=0.04

      RNA negative: 17.50%

      RNA positive: 38.27%

      UV HR (negative vs positive): 0.17 (0.03-1.09) p=0.06

      EOT HBsAg & EOT HBV RNA

      MV HR (RNA negative & HBsAg < 3 log IU/mL):

      0.101 (0.012-0.884) p=0.04
      Seto, W.K., et al 2020
      • Seto WK
      • Liu KS
      • Mak LY
      • Cloherty G
      • Wong DK
      • Gersch J
      • et al.
      Role of serum HBV RNA and hepatitis B surface antigen levels in identifying Asian patients with chronic hepatitis B suitable for entecavir cessation.


      EOT HBcrAg:

      3 log U/mL,

      19% undetected

      EOT HBV RNA:

      1.65 log U/mL,

      36% undetected
      EOT HBcrAg

      HR: Not significantly associated with VR

      EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 48-wk VR: p=0.00

      RNA undetectable: 36.6%

      RNA <1.65 log U/mL: 52.1%

      RNA >1.65 log U/mL: 93.2%

      MV HR (>1.65 vs <1.65 U/mL): 2.96 (1.78-4.93) p=0.00

      EOT HBsAg & EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative incidence of 48-wk VR: p=0.00

      RNA <1.65 log U/mL & HBsAg <10 IU/mL: 9.1%

      RNA >1.65 log U/ML or HBsAg >10 IU/mL: 63.8%
      EOT HBcrAg

      HR: Not significantly associated with CR

      EOT HBV RNA

      MV HR (>1.65 vs <1.65 log U/mL):

      2.77 (1.21-6.33) p=0.02
      EOT HBcrAg

      HR: Not significantly associated with clearance

      EOT HBV RNA

      HR: Not significantly associated with clearance
      Tseng, T.N., et al 2020
      • Tseng TN
      • Hu TH
      • Wang JH
      • Kuo YH
      • Hung CH
      • Lu SN
      • et al.
      Incidence and Factors Associated With HBV Relapse After Cessation of Entecavir or Tenofovir in Patients With HBsAg Below 100 IU/mL.


      Baseline HBcrAg: 4.7 log U/mL

      EOT HBcrAg:

      2.9 log U/mL
      Baseline HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 5-year VR: p=0.00

      HBcrAg <4 log U/mL: 23.8%

      HBcrAg >4 log U/mL: 53%

      UV HR per log U/mL: 1.28 (1.11-1.47) p=0.00

      EOT HBsAg & Baseline HBcrAg

      Cumulative incidence of 5-year VR: p=0.00

      HBcrAg <4 log U/mL & HBsAg <40 IU/mL: 5.9%

      HBcrAg >4 log U/mL & HBsAg <40 IU/mL: 27.6%

      HBcrAg <4 log U/mL & HBsAg >40 IU/mL: 57.3%

      HBcrAg >4 log U/mL & HBsAg >40 IU/mL: 72.2%

      MV HR (HBcrAg >4 log U/mL & HBsAg >40 IU/mL): 2.45 (1.82-3.30) p=0.00

      EOT HBcrAg

      HR: Not significantly associated with VR
      Baseline HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 5-year CR: p=0.00

      HBcrAg < 4 log U/mL: 13.9%

      HBcrAg > 4 log U/mL: 46.6%

      UV HR per log U/mL: 1.33 (1.13-1.56) p=0.00

      EOT HBsAg & Baseline HBcrAg

      Cumulative incidence of 5-year CR: p=0.00

      HBcrAg <4 log U/mL & HBsAg <40 IU/mL: 2.8%

      HBcrAg >4 log U/mL & HBsAg <40 IU/mL: 17%

      HBcrAg <4 log U/mL & HBsAg >40 IU/mL: 34.2%

      HBcrAg >4 log U/mL & HBsAg >40 IU/mL: 68.3%

      MV HR (HBcrAg >4 log U/mL & HBsAg >40 IU/mL): 3.02 (2.03-4.50) p=0.00

      EOT HBcrAg

      HR: Not significantly associated with CR
      Baseline HBcrAg

      HR: Not significantly associated with clearance
      Sonneveld, M.J., et al 2021
      • Sonneveld MJ
      • Park JY
      • Kaewdech A
      • Seto WK
      • Tanaka Y
      • Carey I
      • et al.
      Prediction of Sustained Response After Nucleo(s)tide Analogue Cessation Using HBsAg and HBcrAg Levels: A Multicenter Study (CREATE).


      EOT HBcrAg:

      <2 log U/mL: 22% of patients

      2-3 log U/mL: 23% of patients

      >3 log U/mL: 54% of patients
      EOT HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 48-wk VR: p<0.001

      HBcrAg < 2 log U/mL: 38%

      HBcrAg 2-3 log U/mL: 50%

      HBcrAg >3 log U/mL: 65%

      MV OR (per log U/mL): 0.73 (0.62-0.86) p<0.001

      (MV OR referring to virological remission)

      SCALE-B Score Evaluation

      Cumulative incidence of 48-wk VR: p<0.001

      Low risk: 38%

      Medium risk: 54%

      High risk: 65%
      EOT HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 48-wk CR: p=0.018

      HBcrAg < 2 log U/mL: 15%

      HBcrAg 2-3 log U/mL: 9%

      HBcrAg >3 log U/mL: 20%

      MV OR (per log U/mL): 1.29 (1.08-1.54) p=0.005

      SCALE-B Score Evaluation

      Cumulative incidence of 48-wk CR: p<0.001

      Low risk: 3%

      Medium risk: 14%

      High risk: 31%
      EOT HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 48-wk HBsAg loss: p<0.001

      HBcrAg < 2 log U/mL: 12%

      HBcrAg 2-3 log U/mL: 3%

      HBcrAg >3 log U/mL: 2%

      MV OR (per log U/mL): 0.48 (0.33-0.68) p<0.001

      SCALE-B Score Evaluation

      Cumulative incidence of 48-wk HBsAg loss: p<0.001

      Low risk: 11%

      Medium risk: 2%

      High risk: 1%
      Xia, M., et al, 2021
      • Xia M
      • Chi H
      • Wu Y
      • Hansen BE
      • Li Z
      • Liu S
      • et al.
      Serum hepatitis B virus RNA level is associated with biochemical relapse in patients with chronic hepatitis B infection who discontinue nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment.


      EOT HBV RNA:

      23% undetected
      EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 6-year CR: p<0.001

      RNA <3 log copies/mL: 24%

      RNA 3-4.3 log copies/mL: 61%

      RNA >4.3 log copies/mL: 100%

      MV HR per log copies/mL: 1.34 p<0.001

      AUROC 0.760
      EOT HBV RNA

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 6-year HBsAg loss: p=0.007

      RNA <3 log copies/mL: 30.9%

      RNA >3 log copies/mL: 1.6%
      Kaewdech, A., et al 2022
      • Kaewdech A
      • Assawasuwannakit S
      • Sripongpun P
      • Chamroonkul N
      • Tangkijvanich P
      • Piratvisuth T
      Clinical Utility of SCALE-B to Predict Hepatitis B Virus Relapse, Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Loss After Antiviral Cessation in Asian Patients After 2-Year Follow-up.


      EOT HBcrAg:

      3.2 log U/mL

      EOT HBV RNA: 2.0 log copies/mL
      SCALE-B

      Cumulative incidence of 2-year VR: p<0.001

      Low risk: 28.6%

      Medium risk: 61%

      High risk: 81.5%

      MV HR (medium vs low risk): 2.54 (0.88-7.35) p=0.086

      MV HR (high vs low risk): 5.02 (1.75-14,39) p=0.003

      EOT HBV RNA

      MV HR (>2 vs <2 log U/mL): 0.69 (0.41-1.15) p=0.153
      SCALE-B

      MV HR (medium vs low risk): 3.01 (0.38-23.87) p=0.30

      MV HR (high vs low risk): 10.44 (1.38-79.08) p=0.02

      AUROC 0.81

      EOT HBV RNA

      MV HR (>2 vs <2 log U/mL): 0.64
      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      9,3901,35) p=0.24

      AUROC 0.66
      SCALE-B

      Cumulative incidence of 2-year HbsAg loss: p<0.001

      Low risk: 14.3%

      Medium risk: 2.4%

      High risk: 0%

      MV HR (med vs low risk): 0.09 (0.01-0.52) p=0.008

      MV HR (high vs low risk): 0.04 (0.00-0.43) p=0.007

      EOT HBV RNA

      MV HR (>2 vs <2 log U/mL): 0.20 (0.03-1.16) p=0.072
      Sonneveld, M.J., et al 2022
      • Sonneveld MJ
      • Chiu SM
      • Park JY
      • Brakenhoff SM
      • Kaewdech A
      • Seto WK
      • et al.
      Probability of HBsAg loss after nucleo(s)tide analogue withdrawal depends on HBV genotype and viral antigen levels.


      EOT HBcrAg:

      <2 log U/mL: 22% of patients

      2-3 log U/mL: 19% of patients

      >3 log U/mL: 58% of patients
      EOT HBcrAg

      Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      Cumulative incidence of 3-year HBsAg loss: p<0.001

      HBcrAg <2 log U/mL: 14.6%

      HBcrAg >2 log U/mL: 3.5%

      MV HR (per log U/mL): 0.718 (0.593-0.869) p=0.001

      EOT HBsAg & EOT HBcrAg

      Among patients with HBsAg <1 log IU/mL, no additive value of HBcrAg (HR = 1.08, p=0.833)

      Among patients with HBsAg 10-100 IU/mL:

      MV HR (<2 vs >2 log U/mL): 3.397 p=0.001

      Among patients with HBsAg >2 log IU/mL:

      MV HR (<2 vs >2 log U/mL): 3.702 p<0.001
      Abbreviations: AUROC: area under region of curve; CR: clinical relapse; EOT: end of treatment; HBcrAg: hepatitis B core-related antigen; HBsAg: hepatitis B surface antigen; HBV RNA: hepatitis B virus ribonucleic acid; HR: hazard ratio; MV: multivariate; OR: odds ratio; UV: univariate; VR: virological relapse. Note #1: In the first column, mean/median levels of explored biomarkers for each cohort are provided where available.
      a Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by the biomarker(s) of interest were summarized in Figures 2a-c.
      b Serum HBV DNA is quantified using the COBAS Taqman HBV test, with a lower limit of detection of 20 IU/mL. This study specifically made a distinction between patients with undetectable HBV DNA (48.5%) and patients with HBV DNA <20 IU/mL (43.8%), which was not performed in other studies.
      Figure thumbnail gr2a
      Figure 2a. Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by HBcrAg. Each row represents a single study. The bar charts demonstrate the cumulative rate, shown as %, of the specific outcome (VR, CR or HBsAg seroclearance) stratified by whether HBcrAg was above the specified cut-off level. For instance, in Fan R et al 2020B, the 4-year cumulative rate of CR was 39.5% and 7.3% when the end-of-treatment HBcrAg was >4 log and <4log, respectively (p<0.01). b. Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by HBV RNA. Each row represents a single study. The bar charts demonstrate the cumulative rate, shown as %, of the specific outcome (VR, CR or HBsAg seroclearance) stratified by whether HBV RNA was above the specified cut-off level. For instance, in Fan R et al 2020A, the 4-year cumulative rate of VR was 37.0% and 8.0% when the end-of-treatment HBV RNA was >3 log and <3 log, respectively (no p value). c. Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by HBcrAg + HBV RNA. Each row represents a single study. The bar charts demonstrate the cumulative rate, shown as %, of the specific outcome (VR, CR or HBsAg seroclearance) stratified by whether HBcrAg and/or HBV RNA was above the specified cut-off level. For instance, in Fan R et al 2020B, the 4-year cumulative rate of HBsAg seroclearance was 16.1% when the end-of-treatment HBcrAg was <4 log + HBV RNA <3 log, compared to 1.3% when HBcrAg was >4 log + HBV RNA >3 log (p<0.01).
      Figure thumbnail gr2b
      Figure 2a. Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by HBcrAg. Each row represents a single study. The bar charts demonstrate the cumulative rate, shown as %, of the specific outcome (VR, CR or HBsAg seroclearance) stratified by whether HBcrAg was above the specified cut-off level. For instance, in Fan R et al 2020B, the 4-year cumulative rate of CR was 39.5% and 7.3% when the end-of-treatment HBcrAg was >4 log and <4log, respectively (p<0.01). b. Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by HBV RNA. Each row represents a single study. The bar charts demonstrate the cumulative rate, shown as %, of the specific outcome (VR, CR or HBsAg seroclearance) stratified by whether HBV RNA was above the specified cut-off level. For instance, in Fan R et al 2020A, the 4-year cumulative rate of VR was 37.0% and 8.0% when the end-of-treatment HBV RNA was >3 log and <3 log, respectively (no p value). c. Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by HBcrAg + HBV RNA. Each row represents a single study. The bar charts demonstrate the cumulative rate, shown as %, of the specific outcome (VR, CR or HBsAg seroclearance) stratified by whether HBcrAg and/or HBV RNA was above the specified cut-off level. For instance, in Fan R et al 2020B, the 4-year cumulative rate of HBsAg seroclearance was 16.1% when the end-of-treatment HBcrAg was <4 log + HBV RNA <3 log, compared to 1.3% when HBcrAg was >4 log + HBV RNA >3 log (p<0.01).
      Figure thumbnail gr2c
      Figure 2a. Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by HBcrAg. Each row represents a single study. The bar charts demonstrate the cumulative rate, shown as %, of the specific outcome (VR, CR or HBsAg seroclearance) stratified by whether HBcrAg was above the specified cut-off level. For instance, in Fan R et al 2020B, the 4-year cumulative rate of CR was 39.5% and 7.3% when the end-of-treatment HBcrAg was >4 log and <4log, respectively (p<0.01). b. Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by HBV RNA. Each row represents a single study. The bar charts demonstrate the cumulative rate, shown as %, of the specific outcome (VR, CR or HBsAg seroclearance) stratified by whether HBV RNA was above the specified cut-off level. For instance, in Fan R et al 2020A, the 4-year cumulative rate of VR was 37.0% and 8.0% when the end-of-treatment HBV RNA was >3 log and <3 log, respectively (no p value). c. Cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by HBcrAg + HBV RNA. Each row represents a single study. The bar charts demonstrate the cumulative rate, shown as %, of the specific outcome (VR, CR or HBsAg seroclearance) stratified by whether HBcrAg and/or HBV RNA was above the specified cut-off level. For instance, in Fan R et al 2020B, the 4-year cumulative rate of HBsAg seroclearance was 16.1% when the end-of-treatment HBcrAg was <4 log + HBV RNA <3 log, compared to 1.3% when HBcrAg was >4 log + HBV RNA >3 log (p<0.01).
      There was a stronger relationship between HBcrAg and CR, as evaluated in 13 studies (Table 3). Fan et al
      • Fan R
      • Peng J
      • Xie Q
      • Tan D
      • Xu M
      • Niu J
      • et al.
      Combining Hepatitis B Virus RNA and Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen: Guidance for Safely Stopping Nucleos(t)ide Analogues in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Positive Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B.
      demonstrated a multivariate HR of 5.70 (1.37-23.67; p=0.017) between patients with EOT HBcrAg >4 log U/mL and <4 log U/mL, with 5 other studies encompassing HBeAg positive, HBeAg negative and combined populations also producing significant multivariate HRs at EOT HBcrAg cut-off levels ranging from 2 to 4 log U/mL.
      • Hsu YC
      • Nguyen MH
      • Mo LR
      • Wu MS
      • Yang TH
      • Chen CC
      • et al.
      Combining hepatitis B core-related and surface antigens at end of nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment to predict off-therapy relapse risk.
      ,
      • Fan R
      • Peng J
      • Xie Q
      • Tan D
      • Xu M
      • Niu J
      • et al.
      Combining Hepatitis B Virus RNA and Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen: Guidance for Safely Stopping Nucleos(t)ide Analogues in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Positive Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B.
      ,
      • Kaewdech A
      • Tangkijvanich P
      • Sripongpun P
      • Witeerungrot T
      • Jandee S
      • Tanaka Y
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B surface antigen, core-related antigen and HBV RNA: Predicting clinical relapse after NA therapy discontinuation.
      ,
      • Liao G
      • Ding X
      • Xia M
      • Wu Y
      • Chen H
      • Fan R
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen is a Biomarker for off-Treatment Relapse After Long-Term Nucleos(t)ide Analog Therapy in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B.
      ,
      • Sonneveld MJ
      • Park JY
      • Kaewdech A
      • Seto WK
      • Tanaka Y
      • Carey I
      • et al.
      Prediction of Sustained Response After Nucleo(s)tide Analogue Cessation Using HBsAg and HBcrAg Levels: A Multicenter Study (CREATE).
      ,
      • Chen CH
      • Peng CY
      • Kuo YH
      • Hu TH
      • Hung CH
      • Wang JH
      • et al.
      Earlier and Higher Rate of Hepatitis B Virus Relapse After Discontinuing Tenofovir Versus Entecavir in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Positive Patients.
      These results were affirmed by the CREATE study group,
      • Sonneveld MJ
      • Park JY
      • Kaewdech A
      • Seto WK
      • Tanaka Y
      • Carey I
      • et al.
      Prediction of Sustained Response After Nucleo(s)tide Analogue Cessation Using HBsAg and HBcrAg Levels: A Multicenter Study (CREATE).
      who reported that lower EOT HBcrAg levels were significantly associated with lower rates of CR with multivariate OR 1.29 per log U/mL (1.08-1.54, p=0.005). Eight studies reported the cumulative rates of CR stratified by various cut-off levels of HBcrAg at baseline or EOT (Figure 2a). Once again, both Tseng et al
      • Tseng TN
      • Hu TH
      • Wang JH
      • Kuo YH
      • Hung CH
      • Lu SN
      • et al.
      Incidence and Factors Associated With HBV Relapse After Cessation of Entecavir or Tenofovir in Patients With HBsAg Below 100 IU/mL.
      and Huang et al
      • Huang PY
      • Wang JH
      • Hung CH
      • Lu SN
      • Hu TH
      • Chen CH
      The role of hepatitis B virus core-related antigen in predicting hepatitis B virus relapse after cessation of entecavir in hepatitis B e antigen-negative patients.
      found that 5-year CR rates differed significantly when separating patients at the baseline HBcrAg cut-off of 4 log U/ml. Papatheodoridi et al
      • Papatheodoridi M
      • Hadziyannis E
      • Berby F
      • Zachou K
      • Testoni B
      • Rigopoulou E
      • et al.
      Predictors of hepatitis B surface antigen loss, relapse and retreatment after discontinuation of effective oral antiviral therapy in noncirrhotic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      found that EOT HBcrAg was significantly associated with retreatment (a composite endpoint suggestive of CR) in a HBeAg negative population, where the 2-year retreatment rates were 45% and 17% in patients with EOT HBcrAg >2 and <2 log U/mL respectively, alongside a multivariate HR of 3.64 (1.23-10.75; p=0.019) regarding retreatment with this cut-off level.
      Overall, HBeAg positive populations demonstrate higher mean/median EOT HBcrAg levels, and the EOT cut-off of HBcrAg of 4 log U/mL is a reliable predictor of both VR and CR. HBeAg negative and combined populations necessitate a lower cut-off level, ranging from 2 to 3.3 log U/mL in the included studies (noting that the validated lower limit of detection is 3 log U/mL). The risk of VR/CR in populations that have a mean/median EOT HBcrAg level at or below 3 log U/mL may be better distinguished by a baseline HBcrAg cut-off of 4 log U/mL.

      HBcrAg and functional cure

      14 studies evaluated the association between HBcrAg and rates of HBsAg loss, with most studies not returning significant results (Table 3). Five studies reported the cumulative rates of functional cure stratified by baseline or EOT HBcrAg levels (Figure 2a). Only 4 of 12 patients in Liao et al’s study
      • Liao G
      • Ding X
      • Xia M
      • Wu Y
      • Chen H
      • Fan R
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen is a Biomarker for off-Treatment Relapse After Long-Term Nucleos(t)ide Analog Therapy in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B.
      achieving HBsAg loss had undetectable EOT HBcrAg. Kaewdech et al
      • Kaewdech A
      • Tangkijvanich P
      • Sripongpun P
      • Witeerungrot T
      • Jandee S
      • Tanaka Y
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B surface antigen, core-related antigen and HBV RNA: Predicting clinical relapse after NA therapy discontinuation.
      found a near-significant difference in 48-week HBsAg seroclearance rates, 5.9% vs 0% in patients with EOT HBcrAg <3 log U/mL and >3 log U/mL respectively (p=0.062). Interestingly, Honer Zu Siederdissen et al
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Rinker F
      • Maasoumy B
      • Wiegand SB
      • Filmann N
      • Falk CS
      • et al.
      Viral and Host Responses After Stopping Long-term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapy in HBeAg-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B.
      demonstrated that HBsAg reduction and seroclearance was associated with the degree of virological relapse. The extent of increase in HBcrAg (in parallel with HBV DNA rebound) at weeks 4-8 post treatment cessation correlated with HBsAg decline and were followed by HBsAg loss in 3 of 15 patients. Carey et al
      • Carey I
      • Gersch J
      • Wang B
      • Moigboi C
      • Kuhns M
      • Cloherty G
      • et al.
      Pregenomic HBV RNA and Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen Predict Outcomes in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B Patients Suppressed on Nucleos(T)ide Analogue Therapy.
      also found that a steeper HBsAg decline post-treatment correlated with lower baseline HBcrAg levels rather than EOT levels, observing transiently resolving elevations of HBcrAg after NA cessation. Recently, a multicentre study
      • Sonneveld MJ
      • Chiu SM
      • Park JY
      • Brakenhoff SM
      • Kaewdech A
      • Seto WK
      • et al.
      Probability of HBsAg loss after nucleo(s)tide analogue withdrawal depends on HBV genotype and viral antigen levels.
      comprising 1216 patients demonstrated that EOT HBcrAg was significantly associated with the probability of HBsAg loss (multivariate HR per log U/mL 0.729, 0.603-0.882, p=0.001).

      HBV RNA and partial cure

      8 studies explored the association between HBV RNA levels and rates of VR (Table 3). Five studies reported the cumulative rates of VR at various observation periods stratified by EOT RNA levels (Figure 2b). For instance, Kaewdech et al
      • Kaewdech A
      • Tangkijvanich P
      • Sripongpun P
      • Witeerungrot T
      • Jandee S
      • Tanaka Y
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B surface antigen, core-related antigen and HBV RNA: Predicting clinical relapse after NA therapy discontinuation.
      initially reported significantly different 48-week VR rates of 50% and 72% in patients with EOT HBV RNA <2 and >2 log U/mL respectively (p=0.048), yet the effect of HBV RNA on both VR and CR was found to be statistically insignificant in their subsequent publication with longer follow-up (median 35.5 months) when adjusted for SCALE-B strata.
      • Kaewdech A
      • Assawasuwannakit S
      • Sripongpun P
      • Chamroonkul N
      • Tangkijvanich P
      • Piratvisuth T
      Clinical Utility of SCALE-B to Predict Hepatitis B Virus Relapse, Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Loss After Antiviral Cessation in Asian Patients After 2-Year Follow-up.
      Liu et al
      • Liu Y
      • Xue J
      • Liao W
      • Yan H
      • Liang X
      Serum HBV RNA Dynamic and Drug Withdrawal Predictor Value in Patients With Chronic HBV Infection on Long-term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue (NA) Therapy.
      did not find a significant association between HBV RNA and VR, but Seto et al
      • Seto WK
      • Liu KS
      • Mak LY
      • Cloherty G
      • Wong DK
      • Gersch J
      • et al.
      Role of serum HBV RNA and hepatitis B surface antigen levels in identifying Asian patients with chronic hepatitis B suitable for entecavir cessation.
      demonstrated a multivariate HR of 2.96 (1.78-4.93; p=0.001) between combined HBeAg positive and negative patients at RNA cut-off level of 1.65 log U/mL. Papatheodoridi et al
      • Papatheodoridi M
      • Papachristou E
      • Moschidis Z
      • Hadziyannis E
      • Rigopoulou E
      • Zachou K
      • et al.
      Significance of serum HBV RNA in non-cirrhotic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients who discontinue effective antiviral therapy.
      found that detectability of EOT HBV RNA was significantly associated with VR in their HBeAg negative population, quoting a HR of 3.20 (1.10-9.32 p=0.033), as was detectability of HBV RNA detection at one month post-EOT (HR 3.23, 1.57-6.67, p=0.001). Similarly, Xie et al
      • Xie Y
      • Li M
      • Ou X
      • Zheng S
      • Gao Y
      • Xu X
      • et al.
      HBeAg-positive patients with HBsAg < 100 IU/mL and negative HBV RNA have lower risk of virological relapse after nucleos(t)ide analogues cessation.
      demonstrated a multivariate OR of 3.453 (1.387-8.597; p=0.008) between patients with positive vs negative RNA detection in their HBeAg positive population. Furthermore, Lai et al,
      • Lai CL
      • Wong DK
      • Wong GT
      • Seto WK
      • Fung J
      • Yuen MF
      Rebound of HBV DNA after cessation of nucleos/tide analogues in chronic hepatitis B patients with undetectable covalently closed.
      who demonstrated high VR rates in patients with undetectable cccDNA and RNA, found that all but one patient continued to exhibit undetectable HBV RNA levels after relapse.
      8 out of 10 relevant studies affirmed a significant association between HBV RNA and CR (Table 3). Six studies reported the cumulative rates of CR at various observation periods stratified by EOT RNA levels (Figure 2b). For instance, Fan et al
      • Fan R
      • Peng J
      • Xie Q
      • Tan D
      • Xu M
      • Niu J
      • et al.
      Combining Hepatitis B Virus RNA and Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen: Guidance for Safely Stopping Nucleos(t)ide Analogues in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Positive Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B.
      demonstrated a multivariate HR of 3.58 (1.26-10.14; p=0.017) between HBeAg positive patients with EOT RNA >3 and <3 log U/mL, alongside significantly different 4-year CR rates of 12.9% vs 40.1% according to that cut-off (p=0.004). Liu et al
      • Liu Y
      • Xue J
      • Liao W
      • Yan H
      • Liang X
      Serum HBV RNA Dynamic and Drug Withdrawal Predictor Value in Patients With Chronic HBV Infection on Long-term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue (NA) Therapy.
      also reported significantly different 2-year CR rates of 17.5% vs 38.3% in patients who were HBV RNA negative and positive respectively (combined HBeAg positive and negative population). Papatheodoridi et al
      • Papatheodoridi M
      • Papachristou E
      • Moschidis Z
      • Hadziyannis E
      • Rigopoulou E
      • Zachou K
      • et al.
      Significance of serum HBV RNA in non-cirrhotic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients who discontinue effective antiviral therapy.
      also found that detectability of EOT HBV RNA was significantly associated with CR (HR of 4.73, 1.51-14.86, p=0.008). Carey et al
      • Carey I
      • Gersch J
      • Wang B
      • Moigboi C
      • Kuhns M
      • Cloherty G
      • et al.
      Pregenomic HBV RNA and Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen Predict Outcomes in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B Patients Suppressed on Nucleos(T)ide Analogue Therapy.
      demonstrated transient elevations in HBV RNA after NA cessation and found that 3/4 patients who demonstrated CR had RNA levels >1.65 log U/mL (75% sensitivity, 100% specificity, 100% PPV).
      In conclusion, HBV RNA demonstrates utility in predicting both VR and CR in the majority of publications. There is less of a distinction in mean EOT RNA levels and preferred RNA cut-offs between HBeAg positive, negative and combined populations when compared to the corresponding HBcrAg findings. This is in part due to lack of standardization of RNA assays between different study groups.

      HBV RNA and functional cure

      The relationship between HBV RNA and HBsAg loss was not reported in most studies. Only two studies reported the cumulative rates of functional cure stratified by EOT RNA levels (Figure 2b). Kaewdech et al
      • Kaewdech A
      • Tangkijvanich P
      • Sripongpun P
      • Witeerungrot T
      • Jandee S
      • Tanaka Y
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B surface antigen, core-related antigen and HBV RNA: Predicting clinical relapse after NA therapy discontinuation.
      reported a non-significant difference in 48-week clearance rates between patients with RNA <2 and >2 log U/mL, and Seto et al
      • Seto WK
      • Liu KS
      • Mak LY
      • Cloherty G
      • Wong DK
      • Gersch J
      • et al.
      Role of serum HBV RNA and hepatitis B surface antigen levels in identifying Asian patients with chronic hepatitis B suitable for entecavir cessation.
      also reported a non-significant HR associated with seroclearance. However, Garcia-Lopez et al
      • García-López M
      • Lens S
      • Pallett LJ
      • Testoni B
      • Rodriguez-Tajes S
      • Marino Z
      • et al.
      Viral and immune factors associated with successful treatment withdrawal in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients.
      found that EOT HBV RNA was more frequently undetectable in patients who achieved HBsAg loss than in patients who did not (88% vs 47%, p=0.053). Xia et al
      • Xia M
      • Chi H
      • Wu Y
      • Hansen BE
      • Li Z
      • Liu S
      • et al.
      Serum hepatitis B virus RNA level is associated with biochemical relapse in patients with chronic hepatitis B infection who discontinue nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment.
      also found that cumulative incidence of 6-year HBsAg clearance rates was 30.9% versus 1.6% in patients with EOT HBV RNA <3 versus >3 log U/mL respectively (p=0.007).

      Combining HBcrAg with qHBsAg

      Hsu et al
      • Hsu YC
      • Nguyen MH
      • Mo LR
      • Wu MS
      • Yang TH
      • Chen CC
      • et al.
      Combining hepatitis B core-related and surface antigens at end of nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment to predict off-therapy relapse risk.
      derived the SCALE-B score for CR, consisting of the 5 predictors: EOT HBsAg, EOT HBcrAg, age, ALT and use of TDF. Stratifying patient risk, they demonstrated a significant difference in 3-year CR rates of 86.2%, 55.6% and 17.2% in the high-, intermediate- and low-risk subgroups respectively (p=0.0001). Furthermore, all patients achieving functional cure were drawn from the low-risk subgroup and demonstrated EOT HBsAg levels <2 log IU/mL and EOT HBcrAg levels below 3 log U/mL. Later, Papatheodoridi et al
      • Papatheodoridi M
      • Hadziyannis E
      • Berby F
      • Zachou K
      • Testoni B
      • Rigopoulou E
      • et al.
      Predictors of hepatitis B surface antigen loss, relapse and retreatment after discontinuation of effective oral antiviral therapy in noncirrhotic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      also demonstrated a significant multivariate HR of 0.93 (0.87-0.98; p=0.012) per 1000 points increase in the SCALE-B score for HBsAg seroclearance. Lower SCALE-B score was again associated higher rates of partial and functional cure in Kaewdech et al’s Thailand study
      • Kaewdech A
      • Assawasuwannakit S
      • Sripongpun P
      • Chamroonkul N
      • Tangkijvanich P
      • Piratvisuth T
      Clinical Utility of SCALE-B to Predict Hepatitis B Virus Relapse, Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Loss After Antiviral Cessation in Asian Patients After 2-Year Follow-up.
      and the multicentre CREATE study.
      • Sonneveld MJ
      • Park JY
      • Kaewdech A
      • Seto WK
      • Tanaka Y
      • Carey I
      • et al.
      Prediction of Sustained Response After Nucleo(s)tide Analogue Cessation Using HBsAg and HBcrAg Levels: A Multicenter Study (CREATE).

      Combining HBV RNA with qHBsAg

      Liu et al
      • Liu Y
      • Xue J
      • Liao W
      • Yan H
      • Liang X
      Serum HBV RNA Dynamic and Drug Withdrawal Predictor Value in Patients With Chronic HBV Infection on Long-term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue (NA) Therapy.
      found that combining HBV RNA status and EOT HBsAg level was superior to EOT HBsAg level alone in predicting partial cure, with a 2-year VR rate of 10% in patients with EOT HBsAg <2 log IU/mL and EOT HBV RNA negativity. Seto et al
      • Seto WK
      • Liu KS
      • Mak LY
      • Cloherty G
      • Wong DK
      • Gersch J
      • et al.
      Role of serum HBV RNA and hepatitis B surface antigen levels in identifying Asian patients with chronic hepatitis B suitable for entecavir cessation.
      similarly demonstrated that a combination of undetectable EOT HBV RNA level and HBsAg <10 IU/mL was associated with a 1-year VR rate of 9.1%. Lastly, Xie et al
      • Xie Y
      • Li M
      • Ou X
      • Zheng S
      • Gao Y
      • Xu X
      • et al.
      HBeAg-positive patients with HBsAg < 100 IU/mL and negative HBV RNA have lower risk of virological relapse after nucleos(t)ide analogues cessation.
      found that the combination of EOT HBsAg <100 IU/mL and EOT HBV RNA undetectability had the highest AUROC for VR or partial cure, with an AUROC of 0.698 that was superior to other singular and combined parameters.

      Combining HBcrAg with HBV RNA

      The cumulative rates of VR, CR or functional cure stratified by a combination of EOT HBcrAg and EOT HBV RNA were reported in 4 studies (Figure 2c). Xie et al
      • Xie Y
      • Li M
      • Ou X
      • Zheng S
      • Gao Y
      • Xu X
      • et al.
      HBeAg-positive patients with HBsAg < 100 IU/mL and negative HBV RNA have lower risk of virological relapse after nucleos(t)ide analogues cessation.
      demonstrated that combining EOT HBcrAg and EOT HBV RNA levels was able to strongly predict VR, while Fan et al
      • Fan R
      • Peng J
      • Xie Q
      • Tan D
      • Xu M
      • Niu J
      • et al.
      Combining Hepatitis B Virus RNA and Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen: Guidance for Safely Stopping Nucleos(t)ide Analogues in Hepatitis B e Antigen-Positive Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B.
      and Kaewdech et al
      • Kaewdech A
      • Tangkijvanich P
      • Sripongpun P
      • Witeerungrot T
      • Jandee S
      • Tanaka Y
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B surface antigen, core-related antigen and HBV RNA: Predicting clinical relapse after NA therapy discontinuation.
      affirmed the same for both rates of CR and functional cure. Kaewdech et al
      • Kaewdech A
      • Tangkijvanich P
      • Sripongpun P
      • Witeerungrot T
      • Jandee S
      • Tanaka Y
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B surface antigen, core-related antigen and HBV RNA: Predicting clinical relapse after NA therapy discontinuation.
      demonstrated that the combination of EOT HBcrAg and EOT HBV RNA was most predictive of subsequent CR with an AUROC of 0.742 (0.64-0.84, p < 0.001), indeed superior to qHBsAg alone with an AUROC of 0.609 (0.49-0.73, p=0.089). In Papatheodorididi et al’s study
      • Papatheodoridi M
      • Papachristou E
      • Moschidis Z
      • Hadziyannis E
      • Rigopoulou E
      • Zachou K
      • et al.
      Significance of serum HBV RNA in non-cirrhotic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients who discontinue effective antiviral therapy.
      , although more patients who did not develop VR/CR or achieved HBsAg seroclearance had undetectable HBcrAg and HBV RNA, a combination of detectable HBV RNA and/or HBcrAg at EOT was not significantly associated with partial or functional cure.

      Novel Immune Markers

      Non-Disease Specific Immune Markers

      SNPs in various genes
      • Su TH
      • Yang HC
      • Tseng TC
      • Liou JM
      • Liu CH
      • Chen CL
      • et al.
      Distinct Relapse Rates and Risk Predictors After Discontinuing Tenofovir and Entecavir Therapy.
      ,
      • Wu Y
      • Fan J
      • Liao G
      • Xia M
      • Jiang D
      • Peng J
      • et al.
      Genetic variations in the CXCR5 gene decrease the risk of clinical relapse after discontinuation of nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis B.
      have been explored in the context of HBV treatment discontinuation, but the specificity and clinical significance of these findings remains uncertain. For example, Wu et al
      • Wu Y
      • Fan J
      • Liao G
      • Xia M
      • Jiang D
      • Peng J
      • et al.
      Genetic variations in the CXCR5 gene decrease the risk of clinical relapse after discontinuation of nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis B.
      found that the rs676925 ‘GC’ genotype of the CXCR5 gene was associated with decreased risk of CR, but failed to demonstrate a corresponding difference in percentage of CXCR5-positivity or expression of CXCL13 ligand between genotype groups. With respect to whole genome gene expression analysis, Kranidioti et al
      • Kranidioti H
      • Manolakopoulos S
      • Kontos G
      • Breen MS
      • Kourikou A
      • Deutsch M
      • et al.
      Immunological biomarkers as indicators for outcome after discontinuation of nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy in patients with HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      found that lower PBMC gene expression of CCL20, CCL4, CXCL2, CXCL3, IFNγ, IL-8, IL-1A, IL-1B, FASLG and TNFRSF9 predicted off-treatment remission.
      Regarding soluble immune markers (SIMs) in the context of treatment discontinuation, Wubbolding et al
      • Wübbolding M
      • Lopez Alfonso JC
      • Lin CY
      • Binder S
      • Falk C
      • Debarry J
      • et al.
      Pilot Study Using Machine Learning to Identify Immune Profiles for the Prediction of Early Virological Relapse After Stopping Nucleos(t)ide Analogues in HBeAg-Negative CHB.
      have proposed a combination of IL-2, CXCL9, CCL5, SCF and TRAIL to be an accurate prognostic marker for VR with an AUROC of 0.89.
      • Wübbolding M
      • Lopez Alfonso JC
      • Lin CY
      • Binder S
      • Falk C
      • Debarry J
      • et al.
      Pilot Study Using Machine Learning to Identify Immune Profiles for the Prediction of Early Virological Relapse After Stopping Nucleos(t)ide Analogues in HBeAg-Negative CHB.
      Honer Zu Siederdissen et al
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Rinker F
      • Maasoumy B
      • Wiegand SB
      • Filmann N
      • Falk CS
      • et al.
      Viral and Host Responses After Stopping Long-term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapy in HBeAg-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B.
      found that levels of almost all SIMs increased after treatment cessation, significantly so for TNF, IL-12p70 and IL-10 at week 4-post EOT and for TNF and CXCL10/IP10 at week 8-post EOT. The increase in SIM levels was associated with VR and HBcrAg rebound, and subsequent decline and loss of HBsAg. Papatheodoridi et al reported that higher EOT IP10 levels at 1 month-post EOT identified patients more likely to achieve HBsAg loss, without mention of whether they underwent transient VR and CR first.
      • Papatheodoridi M
      • Hadziyannis E
      • Berby F
      • Zachou K
      • Testoni B
      • Rigopoulou E
      • et al.
      Predictors of hepatitis B surface antigen loss, relapse and retreatment after discontinuation of effective oral antiviral therapy in noncirrhotic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      Finally, in terms of innate immunity, Zimmer et al
      • Zimmer CL
      • Rinker F
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Manns MP
      • Wedemeyer H
      • Cornberg M
      • et al.
      Increased NK Cell Function After Cessation of Long-Term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Treatment in Chronic Hepatitis B Is Associated With Liver Damage and HBsAg Loss.
      studied changes in the NK cell response in HBV patients following treatment cessation. Stopping NA treatment significantly boosted CD56dim NK cell natural cytotoxicity responses, correlating with increased NK cell functional responses and ALT levels at weeks 8 and 12 post-EOT. The subgroup of patients who cleared HBsAg experienced higher ALT levels at week 12 post-EOT and demonstrated higher expression of CD38 on CD56dim NK cells, with increased NK cell functionality. Furthermore, Hall et al
      • Hall SA
      • Burns GS
      • Mooney BJ
      • Millen R
      • Morris R
      • Vogrin S
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B Virus Flares following Nucleot(s)ide Analogue Cessation Are Associated with Activation of TLR Signalling Pathways.
      reported that severe hepatitis flares were associated with upregulation of the innate immune response, demonstrated by increased activity of TLR2-8 and TLR9 signalling in PBMCs and upregulation of TLR2 and TREM-1 receptor expression on NK cells at peak flare, with no such change from baseline in patients without flares. There was no significant correlation between TLR signalling activity and HBsAg decline or clearance.

      HBV-Specific Immune Markers

      The association between EOT anti-HBc levels and rates of partial cure after treatment cessation appear unclear (Table 4). Chi et al
      • Chi H
      • Li Z
      • Hansen BE
      • Yu T
      • Zhang X
      • Sun J
      • et al.
      Serum Level of Antibodies Against Hepatitis B Core Protein Is Associated With Clinical Relapse After Discontinuation of Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapy.
      found that anti-HBc was not significantly associated with VR, but reported a multivariate HR of 0.31 (0.15-0.65; p=0.002) in predicting 4-year CR. Patients with anti-HBc >3 log IU/mL demonstrated 4-year CR rates of 21%, while those with anti-HBc <2 log IU/mL demonstrated 4-year CR rates of 85%. Similar studies did not find a significant association between EOT anti-HBc levels and VR or CR.
      • Su TH
      • Yang HC
      • Tseng TC
      • Liou JM
      • Liu CH
      • Chen CL
      • et al.
      Distinct Relapse Rates and Risk Predictors After Discontinuing Tenofovir and Entecavir Therapy.
      Table 4Summary of Novel Immune Markers.
      PaperRelation with VRRelation with CRRelation with HBsAg clearance
      Single nucleotide pleomorphisms
      Su, T.H., et al 2018
      • Su TH
      • Yang HC
      • Tseng TC
      • Liou JM
      • Liu CH
      • Chen CL
      • et al.
      Distinct Relapse Rates and Risk Predictors After Discontinuing Tenofovir and Entecavir Therapy.
      CTLA (rs231775) non-GG vs GG genotype:

      MV HR: 1.74 (1.01-3.00) p=0.048
      CTLA4 (rs231775) non-GG vs GG genotype: MV HR: 2.06 (1.04-4.11) p=0.039
      Wu, Y., et al 2019
      • Wu Y
      • Fan J
      • Liao G
      • Xia M
      • Jiang D
      • Peng J
      • et al.
      Genetic variations in the CXCR5 gene decrease the risk of clinical relapse after discontinuation of nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis B.
      CXCR5 (rs676925) GC vs CC genotype:

      MV OR: 0.25 (0.07-0.95) p=0.0042

      CXCR 5 (rs676925) non-CC vs CC genotype: MV HR: 0.34 (0.12-0.96) p=0.041

      No difference in # or MFI of CXC5-positive cells or plasma CXCL13 levels between genotype groups
      Gene expression levels
      Kranidioti, H., et al 2019
      • Kranidioti H
      • Manolakopoulos S
      • Kontos G
      • Breen MS
      • Kourikou A
      • Deutsch M
      • et al.
      Immunological biomarkers as indicators for outcome after discontinuation of nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy in patients with HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      Remission associated with lower expression of:

      CCL20: 14-fold decrease p=0.03

      AUROC 0.929

      CCL4: 5.9-fold decrease p=0.02

      UV OR: 27.57 (0.65-1165.96) p=0.053

      CXCL2: 18-fold decrease p=0.02

      CXCL3: 17.6-fold decrease p=0.01

      AUROC 0.857

      IFNγ: 5.3-fold decrease p=0.01

      UV OR: 3.46 (1.11-10.79) p=0.032

      AUROC 0.871

      IL-8: 5.7-fold decrease p=0.01

      UV OR: 2.97 (1.01-8.73) p=0.048

      AUROC 0.871

      IL-1A: 61-fold decrease p=0.03

      IL-1B: 8.6-fold decrease p=0.05

      FASLG: 2-fold decrease p=0.01

      UV OR: 29.78 (1.38-643.08) p=0.030

      AUROC 0.857

      TNFRSF9: 2.9-fold decrease p=0.05

      Combination of CCL4, IFNγ, IL-8 and FASLG predicted off-treatment remission with sensitivity 71.4-85.7% and specificity 80-90%
      Patients achieving HBsAg loss had significantly lower expression of:

      FASLG p=0.04

      IL-8 p=0.02

      CCL4 p=0.008

      IFNγ p=0.06
      Serum cytokine/chemokine (immune marker) levels
      Honer Zu Siederdissen, C., et al 2016
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Rinker F
      • Maasoumy B
      • Wiegand SB
      • Filmann N
      • Falk CS
      • et al.
      Viral and Host Responses After Stopping Long-term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapy in HBeAg-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B.
      SIM levels at EOT vs Week 4 post-EOT (VR)

      IL-10: 8.65 → 13.96 pg/ml p=0.048

      IL-12p70: 14.46 → 25.29 pg/ml p=0.012

      CXCL10/IP10: 1223 → 1533 pg/ml p=0.002

      TNFa: 18.77 → 57.68 p=0.027

      CXCL10 and TNFa remained significantly elevated at week 8
      Xie, L., et al 2019
      • Xie L
      • Liao G
      • Chen H
      • Xia M
      • Huang X
      • Fong R
      • et al.
      Elevated expression of serum soluble ST2 in clinical relapse after stopping long-term Nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy for chronic hepatitis B.
      EOT sST2 levels

      UV HR per log pg/ml:

      2.82 (0.73-10.85) p=0.132

      UV HR (>3.7 vs <3.7 log pg/ml):

      1.72 (0.84-3.51) p=0.137

      12 week post-EOT sST2 levels

      MV HR per log pg/ml:

      4.40 (2.17-8.93) p<0.001

      Patients with CR demonstrated a rising sST2 trend post-EOT and experienced higher sST2 levels at weeks 12, 24 and 48 post-EOT compared to patients without CR
      Papatheodoridi, M., et al 2020
      • Papatheodoridi M
      • Hadziyannis E
      • Berby F
      • Zachou K
      • Testoni B
      • Rigopoulou E
      • et al.
      Predictors of hepatitis B surface antigen loss, relapse and retreatment after discontinuation of effective oral antiviral therapy in noncirrhotic HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      EOT IP10 levels

      HR per 10 pg/ml: 1.03 (0.99-1.07) p=0.01

      1 month post-EOT IP10 levels

      HR per 10 pg/ml: 1.10 (1.02-1.19) p=0.01

      Compared to EOT, IP10 levels were higher at months 2 (p<0.001) and 3 (p=0.024), similar at month 6 (p=0.195) and lower at months 9 and 12 (p<0.004)
      Wubbolding, L.A., et al 2021
      • Wübbolding M
      • Lopez Alfonso JC
      • Lin CY
      • Binder S
      • Falk C
      • Debarry J
      • et al.
      Pilot Study Using Machine Learning to Identify Immune Profiles for the Prediction of Early Virological Relapse After Stopping Nucleos(t)ide Analogues in HBeAg-Negative CHB.
      EOT SIM levels

      IL-2: lower in VR p=0.002

      IL-6: lower in VR p=0.021

      MIP-1a/CCL3: lower in VR p=0.027

      RANTES/CCL5: higher in VR p=0.039

      IL-7: lower in VR p=0.042

      All single SIMs had AUROCs <0.67 for VR

      IL-2, CXCL9, RANTES/CCL5, SCF, TRAIL

      EOT AUROC: 0.89 (0.5-0.99)

      12 weeks pre-EOT AUROC: 0.76 (0.34-0.99)

      24 weeks pre-EOT AUROC: 0.78 (0.1-0.99)
      HBV-specific T cell activity
      Su, T. H., et al 2018
      • Su TH
      • Yang HC
      • Tseng TC
      • Liou JM
      • Liu CH
      • Chen CL
      • et al.
      Distinct Relapse Rates and Risk Predictors After Discontinuing Tenofovir and Entecavir Therapy.


      EOT Anti-HBc:

      2.89 log IU/mL in ETV patients,

      2.63 log IU/mL in TDF patients
      EOT Anti-HBc

      MV HR per log IU/mL: 0.92 (0.55-1.56) p=0.768

      Not significant
      EOT Anti-HBc

      MV HR per log IU/mL: 0.83 (0.45-1.54) p=0.551

      Not significant
      N/A
      Chi, H., et al 2019
      • Chi H
      • Li Z
      • Hansen BE
      • Yu T
      • Zhang X
      • Sun J
      • et al.
      Serum Level of Antibodies Against Hepatitis B Core Protein Is Associated With Clinical Relapse After Discontinuation of Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapy.


      EOT Anti-HBc:

      2.8 log IU/mL in eAg+ patients,

      2.5 log IU/mL in eAg- patients
      EOT Anti-HBc

      UV HR per log IU/mL: 0.69 (0.45-1.06) p=0.088

      Not significant
      EOT Anti-HBc

      Cumulative incidence of 4-year CR: p<0.05

      Anti-HBc >3 log IU/mL: 21%

      Anti-HBc 2-3 log IU/mL: 50%

      Anti-HBc <2 log IU/mL: 85%

      MV HR per log IU/mL: 0.31 (0.15-0.65) p=0.002

      Patients with CR experienced an anti-HBc increase of 3.6 log IU/mL per year, while those with SR experienced an anti-HBc increase of 0.5 log IU/ml per year

      EOT Anti-HBc & EOT HBsAg

      Cumulative incidence of 4-year CR: p=0.009

      HBsAg >2 log IU/mL & Anti-HBc >3 log IU/mL: 27%

      HBsAg >2 log IU/mL & Anti-HBc <3 log IU/mL: 64%
      N/A
      Rinker, F., et al 2018
      • Rinker F
      • Zimmer CL
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Manns MP
      • Kraft ARM
      • Wedemeyer H
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B virus-specific T cell responses after stopping nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      Patients achieving HBsAg loss demonstrated a T cell phenotype with lowly expressed PD-1 and KLRG1, and an increase in expression of Ki-67 and CD38 at week 12 post-EOT.

      Baseline HBsAg was positively correlated with PD-1+ CD8+ T cells, and fold decline of HBsAg at month 12 post-EOT was associated with frequency of Ki-67+ CD38+ T cells at week 12 post-EOT.
      Rivino, L., et al 2018
      • Rivino L
      • Le Bert N
      • Gill US
      • Kunasegaran K
      • Cheng Y
      • Tan DZ
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B virus-specific T cells associate with viral control upon nucleos(t)ide-analogue therapy discontinuation.
      The HBV-specific T cell response, mainly targeting core and polymerase proteins, was at least not superior in patients who flared

      Patients who did not flare demonstrated increased expression of the most differentially expressed gene, PD-1 (p=0.009) in CD8+ T cells
      Garcia-Lopez, M., et al 2020
      • García-López M
      • Lens S
      • Pallett LJ
      • Testoni B
      • Rodriguez-Tajes S
      • Marino Z
      • et al.
      Viral and immune factors associated with successful treatment withdrawal in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients.
      Patients remaining off-therapy had functional HBV-specific CD8+ T cell responses against epitopes from multiple HBV proteins, (68% vs 20%, p=0.048 for IFNγ production and 77% vs 40% p=0.099 for CD107a expression)

      The percentage of degranulating CD8+ T cells (CD107a) was higher at EOT and week 12 post-EOT in patients remaining off therapy (p=0.039 and p=0.0093) when stimulated with core proteins.

      The percentage of polyfunctional core specific CD8+ T cells (co-expressing IFNγ and TNFa) was higher among patients remaining off-therapy (p=0.031) and this increase persisted for more than a year post-EOT (p=0.01).
      NK cell activity
      Zimmer, C.L., et al 2018
      • Zimmer CL
      • Rinker F
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Manns MP
      • Wedemeyer H
      • Cornberg M
      • et al.
      Increased NK Cell Function After Cessation of Long-Term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Treatment in Chronic Hepatitis B Is Associated With Liver Damage and HBsAg Loss.
      Patients achieving HBsAg loss experienced higher ALT levels and higher CD56dim NK cell expression of CD38 at 12 weeks post-EOT

      Patients achieving HBsAg loss experienced elevated responses upon K562 stimulation at 12 weeks post-EOT, particularly CD56dim NK cell IFNγ, TNF and GM-CSF responses
      Hall, S.A.L, et al 2022
      • Hall SA
      • Burns GS
      • Mooney BJ
      • Millen R
      • Morris R
      • Vogrin S
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B Virus Flares following Nucleot(s)ide Analogue Cessation Are Associated with Activation of TLR Signalling Pathways.
      Hepatitis flares were associated with significant increases in TNF, IL-6 and IL-8 cytokine production after PBMC TLR signalling with stimulation from TLR ligands, whereas patients who did not flare demonstrated no significant changes to baseline

      Hepatitis flare was associated with increased expression of TREM-1 and TLR2 on NK-bright & NK-T cells, and increased expression of TLR2 alone on NK-dim cells, whereas patients who did not flare demonstrated no significant changes to baseline
      Abbreviations: AUROC: area under region of curve; CR: clinical relapse; EOT: end of treatment; HBsAg: hepatitis B surface antigen; HR: hazard ratio; MV: multivariate; OR: odds ratio; UV: univariate; VR: virological relapse.
      Several studies examined HBV-specific and global T cell populations in patients undergoing treatment cessation. We previously reported that frequencies of in vitro-expanded HBV-specific T cells both during and after discontinuation of therapy were consistently and significantly higher in patients without hepatic flares post treatment-cessation, in particular the responses against core and polymerase proteins.
      • Rivino L
      • Le Bert N
      • Gill US
      • Kunasegaran K
      • Cheng Y
      • Tan DZ
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B virus-specific T cells associate with viral control upon nucleos(t)ide-analogue therapy discontinuation.
      Patients who did not develop a biochemical flare upon treatment cessation demonstrated increased gene expression encoding for PD-1 in CD8+ T cells. Garcia-Lopez et al
      • García-López M
      • Lens S
      • Pallett LJ
      • Testoni B
      • Rodriguez-Tajes S
      • Marino Z
      • et al.
      Viral and immune factors associated with successful treatment withdrawal in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients.
      found that patients who did not require retreatment demonstrated a higher percentage of degranulating CD8+ T cells (CD107a) in addition to polyfunctional CD8+ T cells co-producing IFNγ/TNFa. HBV-specific T cell responses did not augment following treatment withdrawal, and were not associated with the development of clinically relevant flares or HBsAg loss. Conversely, Rinker et al
      • Rinker F
      • Zimmer CL
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Manns MP
      • Kraft ARM
      • Wedemeyer H
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B virus-specific T cell responses after stopping nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      found a significant increase in HBV core-specific multifunctional T cell responses at 8 and 12 weeks post-EOT, while no significant changes were observed following stimulation with polymerase- or envelope-specific peptides. Patients experiencing functional cure demonstrated a less exhausted and more activated T cell phenotype, with increases in Ki-67 and CD38 expression at week-12 post-EOT. HBV-specific CD4+ and CD8+ T cell responses were also significantly enhanced by PD-L1 blockade at weeks 4 and 8 post-EOT. The findings from studies of HBV-specific immune markers are summarized in Table 4.

      Discussion

      Rates of functional cure remain low in CHB patients who remain on antiviral therapy, as evidenced by an 8-year cumulative incidence of 1.69% in ETV-treated patients and 1.34% in TDF-treated patients in a recent, large multi-ethnic study.
      • Hsu Y-C
      • Jun DW
      • Peng C-Y
      • Yeh M-L
      • Trinh H
      • Wong GL-H
      • et al.
      Effectiveness of entecavir vs tenofovir disoproxil fumarate for functional cure of chronic hepatitis B in an international cohort.
      Treatment cessation in CHB patients has emerged as a possible strategy to achieve functional cure in select patients, but remains a controversial approach given concerns around safety of treatment withdrawal. Overall, the included studies report wide variations in off-therapy outcomes, owing to the heterogeneity of patient populations and stopping criteria. Patient factors, such as ethnicity,
      • Hirode G
      • Choi HSJ
      • Chen CH
      • Su TH
      • Seto WK
      • Van Hees S
      • et al.
      Off-Therapy Response After Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Withdrawal in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B: An International, Multicenter, Multiethnic Cohort (RETRACT-B Study).
      have been demonstrated to play a role alongside EOT HBsAg levels
      • Sonneveld MJ
      • Chiu SM
      • Park JY
      • Brakenhoff SM
      • Kaewdech A
      • Seto WK
      • et al.
      Probability of HBsAg loss after nucleo(s)tide analogue withdrawal depends on HBV genotype and viral antigen levels.
      and sustained off-therapy response
      • Jeng WJ
      • Chen YC
      • Chien RN
      • Sheen IS
      • Liaw YF
      Incidence and predictors of hepatitis B surface antigen seroclearance after cessation of nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy in hepatitis B e antigen-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      ,
      • Chen CH
      • Hung CH
      • Wang JH
      • Lu SN
      • Lai HC
      • Hu TH
      • et al.
      The Incidence of Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Loss Between Hepatitis B E Antigen-Negative Noncirrhotic Patients Who Discontinued or Continued Entecavir Therapy.
      in achieving functional cure after treatment discontinuation. However, there is interest in leveraging additional factors to forcast off-therapy HBsAg loss with more certainty. Given the limitations of current treatment strategies in CHB, the aim of this review was to evaluate how the data from treatment discontinuation studies could be applied to the functional cure program to better predict treatment response and ultimately HBsAg loss.
      Reliable biomarkers are essential to identify individuals where NA therapy can be discontinued safely and functional cure achieved. It is well established that the correlation between serum HBsAg level and cccDNA exists only in the HBeAg-positive phase of CHB infection.
      • Liang LB
      • Zhu X
      • Yan LB
      • Du LY
      • Liu C
      • Liao J
      • et al.
      Quantitative intrahepatic HBV cccDNA correlates with histological liver inflammation in chronic hepatitis B virus infection.
      ,
      • Thompson AJ
      • Nguyen T
      • Iser D
      • Ayres A
      • Jackson K
      • Littlejohn M
      • et al.
      Serum hepatitis B surface antigen and hepatitis B e antigen titers: disease phase influences correlation with viral load and intrahepatic hepatitis B virus markers.
      Following HBeAg seroconversion, there is continued production of HBsAg, partly from integrated HBV DNA in hepatocytes, and in fact the fraction of integrated HBV DNA as a fraction of total intrahepatic HBV DNA is significantly higher in HBeAg-negative patients compared to HBeAg-positive patients.
      • Rydell GE
      • Larsson SB
      • Prakash K
      • Andersson M
      • Norder H
      • Hellstrand K
      • et al.
      Abundance of Noncircular Intrahepatic Hepatitis B Virus DNA May Reflect Frequent Integration Into Human DNA in Chronically Infected Patients.
      To this end, HBcrAg, which represents the combined antigenic reactivity of e-antigen, core antigen and defective core-related protein p22cr, has been shown to more strongly correlate with cccDNA quantity in both patients that are treatment naïve
      • Svicher V
      • Salpini R
      • Piermatteo L
      • Carioti L
      • Battisti A
      • Colagrossi L
      • et al.
      Whole exome HBV DNA integration is independent of the intrahepatic HBV reservoir in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      and on NA therapy.
      • Wong DK
      • Tanaka Y
      • Lai CL
      • Mizokami M
      • Fung J
      • Yuen MF
      Hepatitis B virus core-related antigens as markers for monitoring chronic hepatitis B infection.
      In situations where serum HBV DNA has become undetectable, the presence of HBcrAg indicates continued secretion of viral-end products. Conversely, serum HBV RNA reflects the amount of virion-like encapsidated particles in which pgRNA was non or partially reverse transcribed.
      • Prakash K
      • Rydell GE
      • Larsson SB
      • Andersson M
      • Norkrans G
      • Norder H
      • et al.
      High serum levels of pregenomic RNA reflect frequently failing reverse transcription in hepatitis B virus particles.
      Undetectable HBV RNA despite the persistence of cccDNA in most patients with HBsAg loss after treatment cessation may demonstrate a functional reduction in cccDNA transcriptional activity.
      • García-López M
      • Lens S
      • Pallett LJ
      • Testoni B
      • Rodriguez-Tajes S
      • Marino Z
      • et al.
      Viral and immune factors associated with successful treatment withdrawal in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients.
      Our review suggests that EOT HBV RNA and EOT HBcrAg are both strong predictors for sustained partial cure across the included studies, but both markers also have their limitations. The decline in HBcrAg across treatment may result in an EOT level that falls below the accepted LLoD, especially among HBeAg-negative patients, and as a result this assay may not be able to reflect very low but persistent levels of cccDNA. Similarly, Liu et al reported that the lack of highly sensitive methods of detection for HBV RNA may result in a low threshold for undetectable RNA levels.
      • Liu Y
      • Xue J
      • Liao W
      • Yan H
      • Liang X
      Serum HBV RNA Dynamic and Drug Withdrawal Predictor Value in Patients With Chronic HBV Infection on Long-term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue (NA) Therapy.
      Standardization of cut-offs of viral markers (especially HBV RNA) in terms of method of detection and quantification is of paramount importance to allow fair comparison between various settings. While previous studies have failed to find a strong correlation between either of these biomarkers and functional cure, the CREATE study group
      • Sonneveld MJ
      • Chiu SM
      • Park JY
      • Brakenhoff SM
      • Kaewdech A
      • Seto WK
      • et al.
      Probability of HBsAg loss after nucleo(s)tide analogue withdrawal depends on HBV genotype and viral antigen levels.
      recently pooled multiple large-scale cohorts to conclude that EOT HBcrAg, in isolation or in combination with EOT HBsAg was significantly associated with HBsAg seroclearance. Various combinations of viral markers have also shown potential in predicting off-therapy responses, but the evidence behind SCALE-B score is the most substantial, having been validated for clinical relapse, retreatment and HBsAg loss.
      We propose an algorithm, stratified by HBeAg status at NA initiation, based on EOT qHBsAg, in combination with HBcrAg and HBV RNA to decide whether NA should be discontinued in CHB patients (Figure 3). In general, NA should be continued if EOT qHBsAg is ≥2 log. NA cessation can be considered when the EOT qHBsAg <2 log in combination with HBV RNA <3 log or HBcrAg <4 log for initially HBeAg-positive patients. As the sensitivity of HBcrAg in HBeAg-negative patients is lower, undetectable HBcrAg should not be over interpreted in this scenario; NA cessation could only be considered when HBV RNA is <2 log or undetectable.
      Figure thumbnail gr3
      Figure 3Proposed algorithm to decide whether NA should be discontinued based on qHBsAg, HBcrAg, and HBV RNA stratified by HBeAg status.
      Our understanding of CHB infection is also defined by the patient’s innate and adaptive immune responses.
      • Bertoletti A
      • Ferrari C
      Innate and adaptive immune responses in chronic hepatitis B virus infections: towards restoration of immune control of viral infection.
      The hallmark of CD8+ T cell exhaustion is loss of proliferative capacity, cytotoxicity and cytokine production, which is enhanced through the upregulation of inhibitory pathways with continued antigen and viral load exposure.
      • Ye B
      • Liu X
      • Li X
      • Kong H
      • Tian L
      • Chen Y
      T-cell exhaustion in chronic hepatitis B infection: current knowledge and clinical significance.
      Regarding innate immunity, NK cells appear to act in inverse correlation to T cells. Their inhibition of CD4+ T cells is likely necessary to limit persistent T cell activation, yet their reversion to a quiescent phenotype is reflective of restoration of HBV-specific T cell function.
      • Boni C
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      • Barili V
      • et al.
      Natural killer cell phenotype modulation and natural killer/T-cell interplay in nucleos(t)ide analogue-treated hepatitis e antigen-negative patients with chronic hepatitis B.
      The adaptive humoral response is driven by the role of B cells, which are activated by T-cell dependent and independent pathways to produce disease-specific antibodies. In CHB, HBsAg specific B cells demonstrate defective antibody production and an accumulation of atypical memory B cells with increased expression of inhibitory receptors.
      • Burton AR
      • Pallett LJ
      • McCoy LE
      • Suveizdyte K
      • Amin OE
      • Swadling L
      • et al.
      Circulating and intrahepatic antiviral B cells are defective in hepatitis B.
      ,
      • Salimzadeh L
      • Le Bert N
      • Dutertre CA
      • Gill US
      • Newell EW
      • Frey C
      • et al.
      PD-1 blockade partially recovers dysfunctional virus-specific B cells in chronic hepatitis B infection.
      While all exposed individuals mount an antibody response to HBcAg, higher anti-HBc levels in CHB infection may represent a larger number of activated B cells, which in turn modulate CD4+ and CD8+ T cell activity, and augment naïve T-helper cells through their highly potent antigen-presenting function.

      Milich DR, Chen M, Schödel F, Peterson DL, Jones JE, Hughes JL. Role of B cells in antigen presentation of the hepatitis B core. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 1997;94:14648-14653.

      While the high levels of antigen expression in hepatocytes result in T cell exhaustion and deletion, evidence suggests that long-term antiviral therapy only results in a partial reconstitution of the T cell response. Following in vitro expansion experiments, the HBV-specific polyfunctional T cell response of successfully treated CHB patients (with HBsAg loss) was comparable to patients with spontaneously resolving acute HBV infection. In contrast, in NA-treated CHB patients who were HBV DNA negative but remain HBsAg positive, T-cell responses were notably weaker, compounded by the slow decline in HBsAg on long-term NA.
      • Boni C
      • Laccabue D
      • Lampertico P
      • Giuberti T
      • Vigrano M
      • Schivazappa S
      • et al.
      Restored function of HBV-specific T cells after long-term effective therapy with nucleos(t)ide analogues.
      ,
      • Lam YF
      • Seto WK
      • Wong D
      • Cheung KS
      • Fung J
      • Mak LY
      • et al.
      Seven-Year Treatment Outcome of Entecavir in a Real-World Cohort: Effects on Clinical Parameters, HBsAg and HBcrAg Levels.
      Therefore, there is growing interest in treatment interruption or discontinuation as a strategy to boost the host immune response to facilitate functional cure.
      Although studies that explore SIMs in the context of NA cessation demonstrate low replicability potential and lack of disease specificity, it was observed that VR preceded cytokine upregulation and ALT flare, and subsequent HBsAg decline.
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Rinker F
      • Maasoumy B
      • Wiegand SB
      • Filmann N
      • Falk CS
      • et al.
      Viral and Host Responses After Stopping Long-term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapy in HBeAg-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B.
      ,
      • Jaroszewicz J
      • Ho H
      • Markova A
      • Deterding K
      • Wursthorn K
      • Schulz S
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) decrease and serum interferon-inducible protein-10 levels as predictive markers for HBsAg loss during treatment with nucleoside/nucleotide analogues.
      ,
      • Schurich A
      • Pallett LJ
      • Lubowiecki M
      • Singh HD
      • Gill US
      • Kennedy PTF
      • et al.
      The third signal cytokine IL-12 rescues the anti-viral function of exhausted HBV-specific CD8 T cells.
      This suggests that a transient virological rebound, with or without subsequent clinical relapse, may assist in the immune-mediated killing of infected hepatocytes and non-cytolytic degradation of cccDNA. This is in contrast to previous studies that have shown that sustained off-therapy response is associated with higher chance of functional cure,
      • Jeng WJ
      • Chen YC
      • Chien RN
      • Sheen IS
      • Liaw YF
      Incidence and predictors of hepatitis B surface antigen seroclearance after cessation of nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy in hepatitis B e antigen-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      ,
      • Chen CH
      • Hung CH
      • Wang JH
      • Lu SN
      • Lai HC
      • Hu TH
      • et al.
      The Incidence of Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Loss Between Hepatitis B E Antigen-Negative Noncirrhotic Patients Who Discontinued or Continued Entecavir Therapy.
      ,
      • Chen CH
      • Hu TH
      • Wang JH
      • Lai HC
      • Hung CH
      • Lu SN
      • et al.
      Comparison of HBsAg changes between HBeAg-negative patients who discontinued or maintained entecavir therapy.
      and the role of VR in achieving HBsAg loss remains controversial. We previously demonstrated that increased frequencies of HBV core and polymerase-specific T cells were a promising immunological biomarker for patients who did not experience hepatic flares following treatment cessation, and that hepatic flares were in fact not driven by HBV-specific T cell responses.
      • Rivino L
      • Le Bert N
      • Gill US
      • Kunasegaran K
      • Cheng Y
      • Tan DZ
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B virus-specific T cells associate with viral control upon nucleos(t)ide-analogue therapy discontinuation.
      Recently, a logistic regression model predicting on-treatment presence of functional HBV-specific CD8+ T cell response has demonstrated a positive correlation with off-treatment HBsAg decline and loss.
      • Peña-Asensio J
      • Calvo H
      • Miquel J
      • Sanz-de-Villalobos E
      • Gonzalez-Praetorius A
      • Torralba M
      • et al.
      Model to predict on-treatment restoration of functional HBV-specific CD8(+) cell response foresees off-treatment HBV control in eAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.
      Furthermore, treatment cessation itself triggers a new immunological environment that has been shown to increase frequency and functionality of HBV core-specific T cell responses in patients achieving functional cure.
      • Rinker F
      • Zimmer CL
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Manns MP
      • Kraft ARM
      • Wedemeyer H
      • et al.
      Hepatitis B virus-specific T cell responses after stopping nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.

      Interpretation of these findings and the path to HBV functional cure

      Can NA discontinuation act as an immunomodulator in the functional cure program?

      From murine models
      • Liu J
      • Zhang E
      • Ma Z
      • Wu W
      • Kosinska
      • Zhang X
      • et al.
      Enhancing virus-specific immunity in vivo by combining therapeutic vaccination and PD-L1 blockade in chronic hepadnaviral infection.
      and clinical studies discussed above, a restored immune response against HBV appears to be the prerequisite for a de novo response against HBV during chronic infection. The reappearance of HBV replication after stopping long-term NA treatment could in fact be the necessary trigger for the immune response
      • van Bommel F
      • Berg T
      Risks and Benefits of Discontinuation of Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Treatment: A Treatment Concept for Patients With HBeAg-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B.
      and the effect of viral rebound-induced immune reinvigoration has been shown in a few studies.
      • Höner Zu Siederdissen C
      • Rinker F
      • Maasoumy B
      • Wiegand SB
      • Filmann N
      • Falk CS
      • et al.
      Viral and Host Responses After Stopping Long-term Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapy in HBeAg-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B.
      ,
      • Liu J
      • Zhang E
      • Ma Z
      • Wu W
      • Kosinska
      • Zhang X
      • et al.
      Enhancing virus-specific immunity in vivo by combining therapeutic vaccination and PD-L1 blockade in chronic hepadnaviral infection.
      A delicate balance exists between the potential immunological benefits of NA discontinuation (i.e., accelerated rates of HBsAg decline/clearance) and the risk of excessive hepatocyte damage and resultant liver failure. To this end, transient VR in absence of a serious clinical flare should be viewed differently from a sustained rise in viraemia levels off-therapy, but this has been poorly delineated in NA discontinuation studies to date, which mostly define VR by a single timepoint.
      Patients achieving functional cure following NA discontinuation demonstrate two important events: firstly, a reduction in viral antigen level, and second, evidence of immune recovery. Therefore, any novel approaches intended to enhance functional cure should follow this rule by combining virus-directing agents with immunomodulators. There are no preclinical/clinical studies to date which have evaluated this sequence using novel agents. This combination effect was found to be effective in mice given siRNA (viral antigen knockdown) followed by therapeutic vaccine (composed of recombinant HBV protein), whereby antigen load shift was induced to end the immune tolerance.
      • Michler T
      • Kosinska AD
      • Festag J
      • Bunse T
      • Su J
      • Ringelhan M
      • et al.
      Knockdown of Virus Antigen Expression Increases Therapeutic Vaccine Efficacy in High-Titer Hepatitis B Virus Carrier Mice.
      The safety and feasibility of NA discontinuation as a strategy for immune recovery should be guided by EOT antigenic loads. In selected patient groups; characterised by low HBsAg levels, low EOT HBcrAg and/or HBV RNA; NA discontinuation could be utilised in conjunction with virus-directed agents in order to achieve functional cure without risk of severe CR. However, the safety of this approach could not be over-emphasized, especially after the incidence of a subacute liver failure case necessitating liver transplantation in the REEF-2 study (patient in the placebo arm was continued on TDF for 48 weeks which was then stopped).
      • Agarwal K
      • Lok J
      • Carey I
      • Shivkar Y
      • Biermer M
      • Berg T
      • et al.
      A case of HBV-induced liver failure in the REEF-2 phase II trial: Implications for finite treatment strategies in HBV 'cure.
      Across all included studies, there was a maximum of 15 decompensation events mentioned in 6 studies, leading to 2 liver-related deaths (taking into consideration overlapping study cohorts). While the consensus between studies is that retreatment almost always leads to re-compensation and renewed viral control, there is still a possibility of hepatic decompensation and its sequelae, such as transplantation and death. This was highlighted by a recent meta-analysis which showed that severe hepatitis flares or decompensation would occur in 1.21% and liver transplantation or death was observed in 0.37% following NA discontinuation.
      • Tseng CH
      • Chen TH
      • Wu JL
      • Lee TY
      • Borghi JA
      • Lin JT
      • et al.
      Serious adverse events after cessation of nucleos(t)ide analogues in individuals with chronic hepatitis B: A systematic review and meta-analysis.
      Regardless of whether NA discontinuation is used as part of a novel combination therapy, close monitoring is essential and standardization of retreatment criteria will be inevitable to minimize the associated risks.

      How can viral markers help to predict response to novel agents?

      The results of our review showed that the viral biomarkers that act as a surrogate for transcriptionally active cccDNA are helpful to predict off-therapy partial cure and, to some extent, functional cure. In addition, the timing of assessment has implications on the outcome, and the most commonly used and practical timepoint has been EOT (i.e., end of NA therapy). Recent data suggest that early on-treatment profiles of HBcrAg and HBV RNA can help to identify future responders (HBsAg seroclearance or <2 logs) as early as week-4 of NA therapy.
      • Mak LY
      • Wong D
      • Kuchta A
      • Hilfiker M
      • Hamilton A
      • Chow N
      • et al.
      HBV pgRNA and HBcrAg reductions at week 4 predict favourable HBsAg response upon long-term nucleos(t)ide analogue in CHB.
      Early biomarker response suggests effective restoration of antiviral immunity, and potentially identifies those likely to achieve HBsAg reduction or seroclearance following treatment. Those with high baseline viral markers or poor viral biomarker response on treatment with novel agents should be continued on NA.
      It remains to be determined whether novel agents inducing viral antigen reduction and passive restoration of the immune response will lead to the same sustainable HBsAg seroclearance as observed following long-term NA. Another unanswered question is whether differentiating the HBsAg source (cccDNA vs integrated DNA) would help to predict risk of severe flare following NA discontinuation/novel treatment strategy. Since only hepatocytes containing transcriptionally active cccDNA have the potential to replicate virus and become susceptible to immune attack upon NA discontinuation or immune modulation, those with HBsAg predominantly from integrated DNA have a theoretically lower risk of severe VR or CR if NAs are discontinued or immunomodulators introduced.

      Immune assessment – a practical perspective

      Ideally, the demonstration of a multi-faceted, poly-cellular immune response together with an assessment of an appropriate panel of inflammatory SIMs would be needed to prove immune restoration. However, as previously discussed, SIMs are heterogenous, non-specific and so far inconclusive. Moreover, we lack robust and reproducible assays to predict pro-inflammatory cytokine production with novel therapeutic approaches. To allow a more accessible and reproducible assessment, we propose that HBV-specific T cells should be the immune marker of choice for predicting functional cure on antiviral treatment. The frequency of these T cells, the level of PD1 expression, and functionality (e.g., CD107a expression, IFNγ production on CD8+ T cells) are relatively specific readouts and efforts are underway to standardize the experimental assays, as well as implement them in all novel clinical trials moving forward.
      • Gehring AJ
      • Mendez P
      • Richter K
      • Ertl H
      • Donaldson EF
      • Mishra P
      • et al.
      Immunological biomarker discovery in cure regimens for chronic hepatitis B virus infection.
      For patients receiving immunomodulators, one needs to differentiate responses as being target engagement only or reflecting recovery of the immune response. Ideally, the paired assessment of intra-hepatic HBV-specific T cells in the clinical trial setting would be valuable to inform whether peripheral blood T cell responses are sufficiently informative.
      • Gill US
      • Pallett LJ
      • Thomas N
      • Burton AR
      • Patel AA
      • Yona S
      • et al.
      Fine needle aspirates comprehensively sample intrahepatic immunity.

      Limitations

      The limitations regarding the clinical utility of viral markers are the recognised shortfalls in both sensitivity and standardisation. HBcrAg was measured by the Chemiluminscent Enzyme Immunoassay system (Fujirebio, Inc, Tokyo, Japan) in all studies. While the automated estimation range is quoted as 2 to 7 log U/mL, the validated lower limit of detection is 3 log U/mL. As a result, readings between 2 to 3 log U/mL are not reliable and many studies state that a large proportion of patients return undetectable readings. In the absence of a unified standard, a range of different HBV RNA assays, platforms and lower limits of detection have been adopted in the included studies (Supplementary Table 3). Moreover, most findings from immune marker studies are yet to be comprehensively validated in further independent samples to affirm reproducibility of results. Furthermore, there is also a recognised distinction between in vitro expansion and ex vivo conditions in the generation of immunological data. Unfortunately, we were unable to perform a meta-analysis of the novel markers presented in this review due to the heterogeneity of the data. There was variation in the cut-offs used for viral markers and the timepoints at which VR, CR and HBsAg loss were measured. Furthermore, many of these studies had overlapping (but not identical) cohorts, which would have disproportionately skewed the results of a meta-analysis.

      Conclusion

      Treatment discontinuation has emerged as a valid therapeutic option to maintain partial cure, and has also been associated with higher rates of functional cure compared to patients who remain on long-term NA therapy when trialled in select populations. Nonetheless, treatment discontinuation remains a blunt tool lacking both precision and certainty as to which patients will safely achieve functional cure. The findings of our systematic review demonstrate that HBV RNA and HBcrAg are synergistic to traditional markers, including qHBsAg, in predicting off-therapy VR and CR. Early changes in these parameters with novel therapies should be explored with regard to clinical outcomes. Evidently, the most useful immune markers consist of HBV-specific T cell responses, and these should be assessed in the correct context with accessible and reproducible assays. The achievement of partial cure should be regarded as an important step towards functional cure, which remains the therapeutic goal of novel agents currently under investigation.
      • Cornberg M
      • Lok AS-F
      • Terrault NA
      • Zoulim F
      • Berg T
      • Brunetto MR
      • et al.
      Guidance for design and endpoints of clinical trials in chronic hepatitis B - Report from the 2019 EASL-AASLD HBV Treatment Endpoints Conference.
      Both virus-targeted and immune modulatory agents (where NA discontinuation can be considered an immunomodulatory strategy) are likely to be required to achieve functional cure, while the best sequence or combination approach needs to be explored further, drawing on the data from NA discontinuation studies.

      Acknowledgements

      None.

      Appendix A. Supplementary data

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